IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/jorapm/v22y2023i4d10.1057_s41272-022-00371-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On the selection of relevant historical demand data for revenue management applied to transportation

Author

Listed:
  • Ernst Ahlberg

    (Uppsala University)

  • Irina Mirkina

    (Stena Line)

  • Alfred Olsson

    (Stena Line)

  • Christian Söyland

    (Stena Line)

  • Lars Carlsson

    (University of London)

Abstract

The success of revenue management models depends to a large extent on the quality of historical data used to forecast future bookings. Several theoretical models and best practices of handing historical data have been developed over the years, that all rely on assumptions about underlying distribution and seasonality in the historical data. In this paper, we describe a novel method that compares the fingerprints of the departure to optimise and selects historical departures without making assumptions on data distribution or seasonality. By evaluating the method at the departure level and using the Nemenyi rank test, we show the method’s application in the ferry transportation business and discuss its advantages.

Suggested Citation

  • Ernst Ahlberg & Irina Mirkina & Alfred Olsson & Christian Söyland & Lars Carlsson, 2023. "On the selection of relevant historical demand data for revenue management applied to transportation," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(4), pages 266-275, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorapm:v:22:y:2023:i:4:d:10.1057_s41272-022-00371-0
    DOI: 10.1057/s41272-022-00371-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/s41272-022-00371-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/s41272-022-00371-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Larry Weatherford, 2016. "The history of forecasting models in revenue management," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(3), pages 212-221, July.
    2. Jeffrey I. McGill & Garrett J. van Ryzin, 1999. "Revenue Management: Research Overview and Prospects," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 33(2), pages 233-256, May.
    3. Peter P Belobaba, 2016. "Optimization models in RM systems: Optimality versus revenue gains," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(3), pages 229-235, July.
    4. Tavana, Hossein & Weatherford, Larry, 2017. "Application of an alternative expected marginal seat revenue method (EMSRc) in unrestricted fare environments," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 65-77.
    5. L R Weatherford & P P Belobaba, 2002. "Revenue impacts of fare input and demand forecast accuracy in airline yield management," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 53(8), pages 811-821, August.
    6. Rennie, Nicola & Cleophas, Catherine & Sykulski, Adam M. & Dost, Florian, 2021. "Identifying and responding to outlier demand in revenue management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(3), pages 1015-1030.
    7. Lawrence R. Weatherford & Samuel E. Bodily, 1992. "A Taxonomy and Research Overview of Perishable-Asset Revenue Management: Yield Management, Overbooking, and Pricing," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 40(5), pages 831-844, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nicola Rennie & Catherine Cleophas & Adam M. Sykulski & Florian Dost, 2024. "Outlier detection in network revenue management," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 46(2), pages 445-511, June.
    2. Mihai Banciu & Fredrik Ødegaard & Alia Stanciu, 2019. "Distribution-free bounds for the expected marginal seat revenue heuristic with dependent demands," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(2), pages 155-163, April.
    3. Kavitha Balaiyan & R. K. Amit & Atul Kumar Malik & Xiaodong Luo & Amit Agarwal, 2019. "Joint forecasting for airline pricing and revenue management," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(6), pages 465-482, December.
    4. Alderighi, Marco & Gaggero, Alberto A. & Piga, Claudio A., 2022. "Hidden prices with fixed inventory: Evidence from the airline industry," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 42-61.
    5. Maddah, Bacel & Moussawi-Haidar, Lama & El-Taha, Muhammad & Rida, Hussein, 2010. "Dynamic cruise ship revenue management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 207(1), pages 445-455, November.
    6. Kyparisis, George J. & Koulamas, Christos, 2018. "Optimal pricing and seat allocation for a two-cabin airline revenue management problem," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 201(C), pages 18-25.
    7. Ma, Jie & Tse, Ying Kei & Wang, Xiaojun & Zhang, Minhao, 2019. "Examining customer perception and behaviour through social media research – An empirical study of the United Airlines overbooking crisis," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 192-205.
    8. Yuri Levin & Jeff McGill & Mikhail Nediak, 2008. "Risk in Revenue Management and Dynamic Pricing," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 56(2), pages 326-343, April.
    9. Marco Alderighi & Marcella Nicolini & Claudio A. Piga, 2012. "Combined Effects of Load Factors and Booking Time on Fares: Insights from the Yield Management of a Low-Cost Airline," Quaderni di Dipartimento 171, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    10. Hu, Qiying & Wei, Yihua & Xia, Yusen, 2010. "Revenue management for a supply chain with two streams of customers," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 200(2), pages 582-598, January.
    11. C.K. Anderson & M. Davison & H. Rasmussen, 2004. "Revenue management: A real options approach," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(5), pages 686-703, August.
    12. Chen, Bo & Zhang, Xiandong, 2019. "Scheduling with time-of-use costs," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 274(3), pages 900-908.
    13. Irene Ng & Nick K.T. Yip, 2009. "Mechanism design in an integrated approach towards revenue management: the case of Empress Cruise Lines," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 469-482, February.
    14. E A Silver, 2004. "An overview of heuristic solution methods," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 55(9), pages 936-956, September.
    15. Catherine Cleophas & Daniel Kadatz & Sebastian Vock, 2017. "Resilient revenue management: a literature survey of recent theoretical advances," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 16(5), pages 483-498, October.
    16. Thomas Spengler & Stefan Rehkopf, 2005. "Revenue Management Konzepte zur Entscheidungsunterstützung bei der Annahme von Kundenaufträgen," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 123-146, June.
    17. Shinjini Pandey & Goutam Dutta & Harit Joshi, 2017. "Survey on Revenue Management in Media and Broadcasting," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 47(3), pages 195-213, June.
    18. J-M Chen & L-T Chen, 2004. "Pricing and lot-sizing for a deteriorating item in a periodic review inventory system with shortages," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 55(8), pages 892-901, August.
    19. Nicola Secomandi & Kirk Abbott & Tankut Atan & E. Andrew Boyd, 2002. "From Revenue Management Concepts to Software Systems," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 32(2), pages 1-11, April.
    20. Richard Van Slyke & Yi Young, 2000. "Finite Horizon Stochastic Knapsacks with Applications to Yield Management," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 48(1), pages 155-172, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:jorapm:v:22:y:2023:i:4:d:10.1057_s41272-022-00371-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.palgrave.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.