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Exhaustible Resources: A Theory of Exploration

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  • N. V. Quyen

Abstract

The paper presents a theory of exploration for exhaustible resources. Exploration serves both to find new reserves and obtain information about potential reserves. Although any realized time path of the resource price fails to obey the Hotelling rule, the expected resource price does increase exponentially through time at the rate of discount. We obtain sharper results when the resource is assumed to be distributed randomly throughout the exploration region and follows a Poisson process with parameter λ. Consumption and exploration decisions are investigated for both the case where λ is known and the case where λ is unknown.

Suggested Citation

  • N. V. Quyen, 1991. "Exhaustible Resources: A Theory of Exploration," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(4), pages 777-789.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:restud:v:58:y:1991:i:4:p:777-789.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/2297832
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    Cited by:

    1. Luca Lambertini, 2014. "Exploration For Nonrenewable Resources In A Dynamic Oligopoly: An Arrovian Result," International Game Theory Review (IGTR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(02), pages 1-11.
    2. Mohn, Klaus & Osmundsen, Petter, 2008. "Exploration economics in a regulated petroleum province: The case of the Norwegian Continental Shelf," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 303-320, March.
    3. Nyarko, Yaw & Olson, Lars J., 1996. "Optimal growth with unobservable resources and learning," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 465-491, May.
    4. Mohn, Klaus, 2009. "Elastic Oil. A primer on the economics of exploration and production," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2009/10, University of Stavanger.
    5. Posch, Olaf & Trimborn, Timo, 2013. "Numerical solution of dynamic equilibrium models under Poisson uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2602-2622.
    6. Jeffrey A. Krautkraemer, 1998. "Nonrenewable Resource Scarcity," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 36(4), pages 2065-2107, December.
    7. Tsur, Yacov, 1992. "Stock Uncertainty In Renewable Resource Theory: The Exploitation Of Aquifers Of Unknown Size," Staff Papers 14208, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    8. Ivar Ekeland & Wolfram Schlenker & Peter Tankov & Brian Wright, 2022. "Optimal Exploration of an Exhaustible Resource with Stochastic Discoveries," Papers 2203.01614, arXiv.org.
    9. Castillo, Emilio & Roa, Cintia, 2021. "Defining geological maturity: The effect of discoveries on early-stage mineral exploration," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    10. Cairns, Robert D. & Van Quyen, Nguyen, 1998. "Optimal Exploration for and Exploitation of Heterogeneous Mineral Deposits," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 164-189, March.
    11. Emilio Castillo, 2020. "Mineral Exploration and the Discovery of New Deposits," Working Papers 2020-06, Colorado School of Mines, Division of Economics and Business.
    12. Jakobsson, Kristofer & Söderbergh, Bengt & Snowden, Simon & Li, Chuan-Zhong & Aleklett, Kjell, 2012. "Oil exploration and perceptions of scarcity: The fallacy of early success," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1226-1233.
    13. Massoud Khazabi & Nguyen Van Quyen, 2017. "The search for new drugs: a theory of R&D in the pharmaceutical industry," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 44(5), pages 690-726, October.

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