IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/oup/qjecon/v99y1984i2p351-365..html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Simultaneous Determination of Spot and Futures Prices in a Simple Model with Production Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Ronald Britto

Abstract

This paper deals with properties of a rational expectations equilibrium when there is futures trading. A simple two-good model is analyzed, where one of the goods is produced subject to production risk. Although the futures market provides insurance against price risk to producers, it is income risk that concerns them. Whether they hedge in equilibrium is shown to depend on the price and income elasticity of demand for their output as well as on the degree to which consumers—the other party in the futures transaction-—are risk-averse.

Suggested Citation

  • Ronald Britto, 1984. "The Simultaneous Determination of Spot and Futures Prices in a Simple Model with Production Risk," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 99(2), pages 351-365.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:qjecon:v:99:y:1984:i:2:p:351-365.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1885530
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lence, Sergio H., 2002. "Do Futures Benefit Farmers Who Adopt Them?," 2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA 19768, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Innes, Robert, 1987. "Government Target Price Intervention in Economies with Incomplete Markets: Welfare and Distribution," 1987 Annual Meeting, August 2-5, East Lansing, Michigan 270102, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Jian Li & Jean‐Paul Chavas, 2023. "A dynamic analysis of the distribution of commodity futures and spot prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(1), pages 122-143, January.
    4. Shafiqur Rahman & M. Shahid Ebrahim, 2005. "The Futures Pricing Puzzle," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 35, Society for Computational Economics.
    5. Sergio H. Lence, 2009. "Do Futures Benefit Farmers?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(1), pages 154-167.
    6. Libo Yin & Liyan Han, 2015. "Hedging International Foreign Exchange Risks via Option Based Portfolio Insurance," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 45(1), pages 151-181, January.
    7. Boum-Jong Choe, 1990. "Commodity price forecasts and futures prices," Policy Research Working Paper Series 436, The World Bank.
    8. Alexandre Vasconcelos Lima & Rogério Boueri Miranda & Mathias Schneid Tessmann, 2022. "Evaluation of the Future Price of Brazilian Commodities as a Predictor of the Price of the Spot Market," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(4), pages 1-51, April.
    9. ap Gwilym, Rhys & Ebrahim, M. Shahid, 2013. "Can position limits restrain ‘rogue’ trading?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 824-836.
    10. Méndez Parra, Maximiliano, 2015. "Futures prices, trade and domestic supply of agricultural commodities," Economics PhD Theses 0115, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    11. Elder, Rafael & Pines, David, 1986. "Housing Prices and Tenure Choice in a Rational Expecations General Equilibrium Model with Production Risk," Foerder Institute for Economic Research Working Papers 275403, Tel-Aviv University > Foerder Institute for Economic Research.
    12. Just David R. & Just Richard E., 2008. "Monopoly Power, Futures Market Manipulation, and the Oil Price Bubble," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 1-29, December.
    13. Haruna, Shoji, 1996. "Industry equilibrium, uncertainty, and futures markets," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 53-70.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oup:qjecon:v:99:y:1984:i:2:p:351-365.. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oxford University Press (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://academic.oup.com/qje .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.