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Systematic Risk and the Muni Puzzle

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  • Chalmers, John M.R.

Abstract

The muni puzzle refers to the empirical fact that relative to taxable bond yields, long–term tax–exempt yields are significantly higher than predicted by theory, while short–term yields conform well to theory. The systematic risk hypothesis is a candidate to explain the muni puzzle. I find that risk characteristics of government and municipal bond portfolio returns are very similar across the term structure. From this evidence, I conclude that systematic risk is unlikely to explain the muni puzzle. I also illustrate that a tax adjustment to duration is important when comparing the expected volatility of bonds with different tax status.

Suggested Citation

  • Chalmers, John M.R., 2006. "Systematic Risk and the Muni Puzzle," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 59(4), pages 833-848, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ntj:journl:v:59:y:2006:i:4:p:833-48
    DOI: 10.17310/ntj.2006.4.05
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Breeden, Douglas T., 1979. "An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment opportunities," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 265-296, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. James M. Poterba & Arturo Ramirez Verdugo, 2008. "Portfolio Substitution and the Revenue Cost of Exempting State and Local Government Interest Payments from Federal Income Tax," NBER Working Papers 14439, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Robert Novy-Marx & Joshua D. Rauh, 2012. "Fiscal Imbalances and Borrowing Costs: Evidence from State Investment Losses," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 182-213, May.
    3. Thomas Luke Spreen & Ed Gerrish, 2022. "Taxes and tax‐exempt bonds: A literature review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 767-808, September.

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