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An analysis of the intention-realisation discrepancy in EU farmers’ land investment decisions

Author

Listed:
  • Lefebvre, Marianne
  • Raggi, Meri
  • Gomez Y Paloma, Sergio
  • Viaggi, Davide

Abstract

L’objectif de cet article est d’expliquer l’écart entre les intentions d’achat de terres et les achats réalisés. Pour cela, nous analysons les intentions d’achat de terre (collectées en 2006) et les investissements réalisés entre 2006 et 2009 de 171 agriculteurs dans 6 pays européens. Alors que les agriculteurs qui n’avaient pas prévu d’investir suivent leurs intentions initiales, seulement 36% de ceux qui souhaitaient investir en 2006 ont réalisé leur investissement entre 2006 et 2009. Nous utilisons un modèle probit bivarié récursif dans lequel les intentions sont régresseurs endogènes des réalisations. Ce modèle montre que les intentions sont un relativement bon prédicteur des intentions, et met en évidence les déterminants de l’écart entre intentions et réalisations, comme des anticipations négatives concernant le futur, à la fois sur les marchés agricoles et au niveau de l’exploitation (notamment l’incertitude concernant la succession). Nous proposons des recommandations sur l’usage des enquêtes d’intention.

Suggested Citation

  • Lefebvre, Marianne & Raggi, Meri & Gomez Y Paloma, Sergio & Viaggi, Davide, 2014. "An analysis of the intention-realisation discrepancy in EU farmers’ land investment decisions," Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement, Editions NecPlus, vol. 95(01), pages 51-75, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:nec:raestu:v:95:y:2014:i:01:p:51-75_01
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Henrike Grotsch & Marcus Mergenthaler & Sarah Kühl & Holger Schulze, 2025. "The role of intrinsic motivation and continuous enhancement on the intention to implement animal welfare practices in dairy farming," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 47(3), pages 949-964, July.
    2. Silvia Russo & Rino Ghelfi & Meri Raggi & Davide Viaggi, 2024. "Factors Affecting the Land Investment Decisions in the Old Members of the European Union: A Systematic Literature Review," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-18, April.
    3. Demirdogen, Alper & Olhan, Emine, "undated". "The Timing Impact of Agricultural Support Policies on Farmers’ Stated Intentions in Turkey," 162nd Seminar, April 26-27, 2018, Budapest, Hungary 271960, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Guoming Du & Ru Zhang & Yuheng Li & Mengqi Zhang & Bonoua Faye, 2023. "How Different Land Systems Lead to Discrepancy of Rural Population–Land Relationships: Case Study of Heilongjiang Province, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-18, December.
    5. Marianne Lefebvre & Kim De Cuyper & Ellen Loix & Davide Viaggi & Sergio Gomez y Paloma, 2014. "European Farmers intentions to invest in 2014-2020: survey results," JRC Research Reports JRC90441, Joint Research Centre.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
    • C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods

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