IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nea/journl/y2025i68p216-241.html

The role of forests in achieving carbon neutrality in Russia by 2060

Author

Listed:
  • Shvarts, E.

    (Center for responsible use of natural resources, Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
    HSE University, Moscow, Russia)

  • Ptichnikov, A.

    (Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
    HSE University, Moscow, Russia)

  • Romanovskaya, A.

    (Yu. A. Izrael Institute of Global Climate and Ecology, Moscow, Russia)

  • Korotkov, V.

    (Yu. A. Izrael Institute of Global Climate and Ecology, Moscow, Russia)

  • Baibar, A.

    (Center for responsible use of natural resources, Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
    HSE University, Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

The article is devoted to rethinking the role of managed forest ecosystems in achieving carbon neutrality in Russia, taking into account the latest data on the values of net absorption of greenhouse gases in the National Greenhouse Gas Inventory (National Greenhouse Gas Inventory, 2024). The purpose of the study is to discuss a new trajectory for achieving carbon neutrality of the Russian Federation taking into account the latest data on uptake in the Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) sector (managed forests), and to present proposals for improving certain elements of forest management to achieve carbon neutrality. Alongside, proposals are presented to improve a number of provisions of the operational plan of Low Carbon Development strategy (LCDS) in terms of sequestration. New variants of the scenario of achieving carbon neutrality of the Russia are presented, taking into account the doubling of the role of LULUCF in the takeover. Analysis of changes in the second version of the operational plan of the Low Carbon Development Strategy of the Russian Federation, concluding that its content was improved in the section on increasing absorption in the LULUCF sector. Proposals for the development of national forest policy towards increasing net uptake by forests are formulated, including the projected decrease in annual net uptake by Russian forests by 2050.

Suggested Citation

  • Shvarts, E. & Ptichnikov, A. & Romanovskaya, A. & Korotkov, V. & Baibar, A., 2025. "The role of forests in achieving carbon neutrality in Russia by 2060," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 68(3), pages 216-241.
  • Handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2025:i:68:p:216-241
    DOI: 10.31737/22212264_2025_3_216-241
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.econorus.org/repec/journl/2025-68-216-241r.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31737/22212264_2025_3_216-241?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhen Yu & Shirong Liu & Haikui Li & Jingjing Liang & Weiguo Liu & Shilong Piao & Hanqin Tian & Guoyi Zhou & Chaoqun Lu & Weibin You & Pengsen Sun & Yanli Dong & Stephen Sitch & Evgenios Agathokleous, 2024. "Author Correction: Maximizing carbon sequestration potential in Chinese forests through optimal management," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-1, December.
    2. Igor A. Bashmakov, 2024. "Russia on the pathways to carbon neutrality: forks on roadmaps," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 29(7), pages 1-26, October.
    3. Thales A. P. West & Sven Wunder & Erin O. Sills & Jan Borner & Sami W. Rifai & Alexandra N. Neidermeier & Andreas Kontoleon, 2023. "Action needed to make carbon offsets from tropical forest conservation work for climate change mitigation," Papers 2301.03354, arXiv.org.
    4. Zhen Yu & Shirong Liu & Haikui Li & Jingjing Liang & Weiguo Liu & Shilong Piao & Hanqin Tian & Guoyi Zhou & Chaoqun Lu & Weibin You & Pengsen Sun & Yanli Dong & Stephen Sitch & Evgenios Agathokleous, 2024. "Maximizing carbon sequestration potential in Chinese forests through optimal management," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Nancy L. Harris & David A. Gibbs & Alessandro Baccini & Richard A. Birdsey & Sytze Bruin & Mary Farina & Lola Fatoyinbo & Matthew C. Hansen & Martin Herold & Richard A. Houghton & Peter V. Potapov & D, 2021. "Global maps of twenty-first century forest carbon fluxes," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(3), pages 234-240, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Evgeny A. Shvarts & Andrey V. Ptichnikov & Anna A. Romanovskaya & Vladimir N. Korotkov & Anastasia S. Baybar, 2025. "The Low-Carbon Development Strategy of Russia Until 2050 and the Role of Forests in Its Implementation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-25, July.
    2. Zhang, Yifan & Tian, Xiaohui, 2026. "Market Incentives, Forest Management, and the Future of China's Forest Carbon Sink," 2026 Annual Meeting, July 26 - 28, 2026, Kansas City, Missouri 404739, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Chao Yue & Mengyang Xu & Philippe Ciais & Shu Tao & Huizhong Shen & Jinfeng Chang & Wei Li & Lei Deng & Junhao He & Yi Leng & Yu Li & Jiaming Wang & Can Xu & Han Zhang & Pengyi Zhang & Liankai Zhang &, 2024. "Contributions of ecological restoration policies to China’s land carbon balance," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    4. Zhu, Meng & Zhou, Zhongfa & Wu, Xiaopiao & Wan, Jiaxue & Wang, Jiale & Zheng, Jiajia & Liu, Rongping & Li, Fadong, 2025. "Prediction and spillover effects of forest expansion and management to increase carbon sinks in karst mountainous areas: A case study in Guizhou, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    5. Bertille Daran & Clément Nedoncelle, 2025. "The deforestation effect of climate aid [L'effet déforestation de l'aide climatique]," Working Papers hal-05310970, HAL.
    6. Linghua Qiu & Junhao He & Chao Yue & Philippe Ciais & Chunmiao Zheng, 2024. "Substantial terrestrial carbon emissions from global expansion of impervious surface area," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Audrey Irvine-Broque, 2025. "Shifting baselines: From austerity to additionality in the mangrove forest," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 57(8), pages 1169-1189, November.
    8. Nophea Sasaki & Issei Abe, 2025. "A Digital Twin Architecture for Forest Restoration: Integrating AI, IoT, and Blockchain for Smart Ecosystem Management," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-16, September.
    9. Bergkvist, John & Lagergren, Fredrik & Linderson, Maj-Lena Finnander & Miller, Paul & Lindeskog, Mats & Jönsson, Anna Maria, 2023. "Modelling managed forest ecosystems in Sweden: An evaluation from the stand to the regional scale," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 477(C).
    10. N. K. Kurichev & A. V. Ptichnikov & E. A. Shvarts & A. N. Krenke, 2023. "Nature-Based Offsets in Russia: Key Challenges and Conditions for Success," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 595-608, December.
    11. Wenjun Peng & Xinqiang Zou & Yanyan Huang & Hui Li, 2025. "Quantifying and Optimizing Vegetation Carbon Storage in Building-Attached Green Spaces for Sustainable Urban Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-20, September.
    12. Tomo Cerovšek, 2025. "Advancing Sustainable Construction Through 5D Digital EIA and Ecosystem Restoration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(20), pages 1-35, October.
    13. Andreas A. Haupt & Nicole Immorlica & Brendan Lucier, 2023. "Certification Design for a Competitive Market," Papers 2301.13449, arXiv.org.
    14. Tiehu He & Weixin Ding & Xiaoli Cheng & Yanjiang Cai & Yulong Zhang & Huijuan Xia & Xia Wang & Jiehao Zhang & Kerong Zhang & Quanfa Zhang, 2024. "Meta-analysis shows the impacts of ecological restoration on greenhouse gas emissions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
    15. Thales A. P. West & Yue Wang & Serajis Salekin & Dean Meason, 2026. "A theoretical framework for forestry risk mitigation under climate change scenarios based on fuzzy portfolio selection," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 1-14, January.
    16. Sigit D. Sasmito & Pierre Taillardat & Wahyu C. Adinugroho & Haruni Krisnawati & Nisa Novita & Lola Fatoyinbo & Daniel A. Friess & Susan E. Page & Catherine E. Lovelock & Daniel Murdiyarso & David Tay, 2025. "Half of land use carbon emissions in Southeast Asia can be mitigated through peat swamp forest and mangrove conservation and restoration," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-12, December.
    17. Gao, Ming, 2023. "The impacts of carbon trading policy on China's low-carbon economy based on county-level perspectives," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    18. Sven Wunder & Cecilia Fraccaroli & Joseph W. Bull & Trishna Dutta & Alison Eyres & Megan C. Evans & Bo Jellesmark Thorsen & Julia P. G. Jones & Martine Maron & Bart Muys & Andrea Pacheco & Asger Stran, 2025. "Biodiversity Credits: An Overview of the Current State, Future Opportunities, and Potential Pitfalls," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(7), pages 8470-8499, November.
    19. Mengqi Zhao & Ziyao Wang & Liang Li, 2026. "Carbon sequestration service supply–demand dynamics in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration: implications from future SSP–RCP scenarios," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 1-24, March.
    20. Chuang, Yating & Liu, John Chung-En, 2025. "Assessing data integrity in voluntary carbon offsets using Benford’s Law," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • Q23 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Forestry
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2025:i:68:p:216-241. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Alexey Tcharykov (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nearuea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.