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Thirlwall's law and the long-term equilibrium growth rate: an application to Brazil

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  • Gustavo Britto
  • John S. L. McCombie

Abstract

This paper uses the balance-of-payments-constrained model to estimate the determinants of the long-run rate of growth of Brazil. Contrary to previous tests for the country found in the literature, this paper uses a different approach to test the long-run relationship between actual growth rates and those predicted by Thirlwall's law, extended to include capital flows. The regression results, apart from providing renewed support for the thesis that the country's growth rate has been constrained by the balance of payments, allow us to argue that Thirlwall's law is associated with a notion of long-run equilibrium growth rate which is fundamentally distinct from that of mainstream economics.

Suggested Citation

  • Gustavo Britto & John S. L. McCombie, 2009. "Thirlwall's law and the long-term equilibrium growth rate: an application to Brazil," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 115-136, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:32:y:2009:i:1:p:115-136
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas H. W. Ziesemer, 2023. "Semi-endogenous growth in a non-Walrasian DSEM for Brazil: estimation and simulation of changes in foreign income, human capital, R&D, and terms of trade," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 1147-1183, April.
    2. Douglas Alencar & Frederico G. Jayme Jr & Gustavo Britto, 2021. "A post-Kaleckian model with productivity growth and real exchange rate applied to selected Latin American countries," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 74(297), pages 127-146.
    3. Ahmad Jafari Samimi & Ramezan Hosseinzadeh, 2011. "Foreign Trade and Economic Growth: Evidence of Thirlwall’s Law in Iran," Journal of Social and Development Sciences, AMH International, vol. 2(2), pages 81-88.
    4. C Alexiou & J G Nellis, 2016. "A post-mortem of austerity: the Greek experience," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 21(2), pages 1-32, September.
    5. Laurent Oloukoi, 2020. "Demande extérieure et offre agricole de long terme: Cas des noix de cajou dans l'Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest‐Africaine (UEMOA)," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 32(3), pages 486-498, September.
    6. Douglas Alencar & Frederico G. Jayme & Gustavo Britto & Cláudio Puty, 2021. "Distribution and Productivity Growth: An Empirical Exercise Applied to Selected Latin American Countries," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 487-510, July.
    7. Anthony Philip Thirlwall, 2012. "Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Models: History and Overview," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Elias Soukiazis & Pedro A. Cerqueira (ed.), Models of Balance of Payments Constrained Growth, chapter 1, pages 11-49, Palgrave Macmillan.
    8. A. P. Thirlwall, 2013. "Economic Growth in an Open Developing Economy," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 15208.
    9. Jo„o Prates Romero & FabrÌcio Silveira & Gustavo Britto, 2011. "Structural change, National Innovation System and balance-of-payments constraint: a theoretical and empirical analysis of the Brazilian case," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 440, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    10. Constantinos Alexiou & Joseph G. Nellis, 2013. "Challenging the Raison d’etre of Internal Devaluation in the Context of the Greek Economy," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 60(6), pages 813-836, December.
    11. Ferda Halicioglu, 2012. "Balance-of-payments-constrained growth: the case of Turkey," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 65-78.
    12. Senay, Acikgöz & Mert, Merter, 2015. "The endogeneity of the natural rate of growth: An alternative approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2015-2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    13. Edgar Demetrio Tovar-Garcia & Carlos A. Carrasco, 2019. "The Balance of Payments and Russian Economic Growth," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 23(4), pages 524-541.
    14. Leon Podkaminer, 2017. "“Thirlwall’s Law” reconsidered," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 29-57, February.

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