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Exogenous Shocks on the Dual-country Industrial Network: A Simulation Based on the Policies during the COVID-19 Pandemic

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  • Pengcheng Song
  • Xuan Zhang
  • Yu Zhao
  • Liao Xu

Abstract

This article investigates the performance of the industrial structure in different emerging markets under exogenous shocks during the COVID-19. Based on the ICIO database, we use System Dynamics to simulate the evaluation of the economic system under different types of exogenous shocks (instantaneous shocks like entertainment restrictions, and continuous shocks like trade controls). We find that there are significant differences in the shock absorption capability of a country, that capability is not related to the magnitude of the shock, but related to the type of shock and the industrial structure.

Suggested Citation

  • Pengcheng Song & Xuan Zhang & Yu Zhao & Liao Xu, 2020. "Exogenous Shocks on the Dual-country Industrial Network: A Simulation Based on the Policies during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(15), pages 3554-3561, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:56:y:2020:i:15:p:3554-3561
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2020.1854723
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Jiangyuan & Gan, Jiawu & Li, Zhen, 2021. "Industrial policy, uncertainty, and analysts’ earnings forecast: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 249-258.
    2. Song, Pengcheng & Wang, Pang Paul & Zhang, Baozhen & Zhang, Xuan & Zong, Xiangyu, 2021. "Complexity economic indexes for the energy market: Evidence during extreme global changes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    3. Sui, Bo & Chang, Chun-Ping & Jang, Chyi-Lu & Gong, Qiang, 2021. "Analyzing causality between epidemics and oil prices: Role of the stock market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 148-158.
    4. Chen, Yin-E & Li, Chunyan & Chang, Chun-Ping & Zheng, Mingbo, 2021. "Identifying the influence of natural disasters on technological innovation," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 22-36.
    5. Naidu, Dharmendra & Ranjeeni, Kumari, 2021. "Effect of coronavirus fear on the performance of Australian stock returns: Evidence from an event study," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Thibeault, Al & Ryder, Michael & Tomomewo, Olusegun & Mann, Michael, 2023. "A review of competitive advantage theory applied to the global rare earth industry transition," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    7. Deng, Tianjie & Xu, Tracy & Lee, Young Jin, 2022. "Policy responses to COVID-19 and stock market reactions - An international evidence," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    8. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2021. "Bond return predictability: Evidence from 25 OECD countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    9. Feng, Gen-Fu & Yang, Hao-Chang & Gong, Qiang & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "What is the exchange rate volatility response to COVID-19 and government interventions?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 705-719.
    10. Zhao, Xin-Xin & Zheng, Mingbo & Fu, Qiang, 2022. "How natural disasters affect energy innovation? The perspective of environmental sustainability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    11. Su, Chi-Wei & Huang, Shi-Wen & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Does crude oil price stimulate economic policy uncertainty in BRICS?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    12. Wang, Hua & Xu, Liao & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2021. "Does investor attention increase stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

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