IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/emfitr/v48y2012i1p117-131.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

E/P Mean Reversion-Based Strategies for Investment Practice: Evidence from the Taiwan Market

Author

Listed:
  • Yan-Ting Lin
  • Shang-Chi Gong
  • Sou-Shan Wu
  • Tsung-Pei Lee

Abstract

This study investigates the mean-reversion characteristic in firm-specific earnings-to-price ratios (E/P ratios) and proposes two investment strategies based on the detected mean-reversion feature of E/P ratios. We differentiate our study from other research by analyzing firm-specific time series data. The results show that, of the 1,156 nonfinancial firms listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange and the GraTai Securities Market in 2006, the E/P ratios of 516 (about 45 percent) exhibited a tendency of mean reversion. Furthermore, we design two investment strategies based on the detected mean-reversion feature of firm-specific E/P ratios and report the dominant investment performances.

Suggested Citation

  • Yan-Ting Lin & Shang-Chi Gong & Sou-Shan Wu & Tsung-Pei Lee, 2012. "E/P Mean Reversion-Based Strategies for Investment Practice: Evidence from the Taiwan Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 117-131, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:48:y:2012:i:1:p:117-131
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://mesharpe.metapress.com/link.asp?target=contribution&id=N3036J1405113W57
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luis Muga & Rafael Santamaría, 2007. "The Momentum Effect in Latin American Emerging Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(4), pages 24-45, August.
    2. Hakan Aksoy & Ismail Saglam, 2006. "Patience Extracts Sugar from a Lemon: Buy and Hold with a Classifier System in the Istanbul Stock Exchange," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 42(1), pages 50-61, February.
    3. John Y. Campbell & Robert J. Shiller, 1988. "Stock Prices, Earnings and Expected Dividends," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 858, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    4. Yu-Fen Chen & Chih-Yung Wang & Fu-Lai Lin, 2008. "Do Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors Herd in Taiwan's Securities Market?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 62-74, July.
    5. John Y. Campbell & Robert J. Shiller, 2001. "Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook: An Update," NBER Working Papers 8221, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Campbell, John Y. & Yogo, Motohiro, 2006. "Efficient tests of stock return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 27-60, July.
    7. Imad Moosa & Larry Li, 2011. "Technical and Fundamental Trading in the Chinese Stock Market: Evidence Based on Time-Series and Panel Data," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(0), pages 23-31, January.
    8. Joshua Krausz & Sa-Young Lee & Kiseok Nam, 2009. "Profitability of Nonlinear Dynamics Under Technical Trading Rules: Evidence from Pacific Basin Stock Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(4), pages 13-35, July.
    9. Ito, Akitoshi, 1999. "Profits on technical trading rules and time-varying expected returns: evidence from Pacific-Basin equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 7(3-4), pages 283-330, August.
    10. K. Geert Rouwenhorst, 1999. "Local Return Factors and Turnover in Emerging Stock Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(4), pages 1439-1464, August.
    11. Ivo Welch & Amit Goyal, 2008. "A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1455-1508, July.
    12. Campbell, John Y & Shiller, Robert J, 1988. " Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(3), pages 661-676, July.
    13. Michael D. McKenzie, 2007. "Technical Trading Rules in Emerging Markets and the 1997 Asian Currency Crises," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(4), pages 46-73, August.
    14. Chih-Lun Huang & Yeong-Jia Goo, 2008. "Are Happy Investors Likely to Be Overconfident?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 33-39, July.
    15. Hung-Wei Lai & Cheng-Wei Chen & Chin-Sheng Huang, 2010. "Technical Analysis, Investment Psychology, and Liquidity Provision: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(5), pages 18-38, September.
    16. Jin-Shuei Luo & Chun-An Li, 2008. "Futures Market Sentiment and Institutional Investor Behavior in the Spot Market: The Emerging Market in Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 70-86, March.
    17. Kang, Joseph & Liu, Ming-Hua & Ni, Sophie Xiaoyan, 2002. "Contrarian and momentum strategies in the China stock market: 1993-2000," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 243-265, June.
    18. John S. Liu & Chyan Yang, 2008. "Herding of Corporate Directors in Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 109-123, July.
    19. Janusz Brzeszczynski & Aleksander Welfe, 2007. "Are There Benefits from Trading Strategy Based on the Returns Spillovers to the Emerging Stock Markets?: Evidence from Poland," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(4), pages 74-92, August.
    20. Piotroski, JD, 2000. "Value investing: The use of historical financial statement information to separate winners from losers," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38, pages 1-41.
    21. Haigang Zhou & John Geppert & Dongmin Kong, 2010. "An Anatomy of Trading Strategies: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(2), pages 66-79, March.
    22. Yeong-Jia Goo & Dar-Hsin Chen & Sze-Hsun Sylcien Chang & Chi-Feng Yeh, 2010. "A Study of the Disposition Effect for Individual Investors in the Taiwan Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 108-119, January.
    23. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    24. Janchung Wang, 2010. "Short Selling and Index Arbitrage Profitability: Evidence from the SGX MSCI and TAIFEX Taiwan Index Futures Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(5), pages 48-66, September.
    25. Chaoshin Chiao & Weifeng Hung & Cheng F. Lee, 2008. "Mispricing of Research and Development Investments in a Rapidly Emerging and Electronics-Dominated Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 95-116, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fernando Rubio, 2005. "Eficiencia De Mercado, Administracion De Carteras De Fondos Y Behavioural Finance," Finance 0503028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2005.
    2. Giot, Pierre & Petitjean, Mikael, 2007. "The information content of the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio: Better than a random walk?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 289-305.
    3. Semenov, Andrei, 2021. "Measuring the stock's factor beta and identifying risk factors under market inefficiency," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 635-649.
    4. Fernando Rubio, 2005. "Estrategias Cuantitativas De Valor Y Retornos Por Accion De Largo," Finance 0503029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
    6. Pierre Giot & Mikael Petitjean, 2009. "Short-term market timing using the bond-equity yield ratio," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 365-384.
    7. Maio, Paulo & Santa-Clara, Pedro, 2012. "Multifactor models and their consistency with the ICAPM," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 586-613.
    8. Lin, Qi, 2018. "Technical analysis and stock return predictability: An aligned approach," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 103-123.
    9. Jeeman Jung & Robert Shiller, 2002. "One Simple Test of Samuelson's Dictum for the Stock Market," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm315, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Nov 2003.
    10. Dou, Winston Wei & Ji, Yan & Wu, Wei, 2021. "Competition, profitability, and discount rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 582-620.
    11. John Y. Campbell & Christopher Polk & Tuomo Vuolteenaho, 2010. "Growth or Glamour? Fundamentals and Systematic Risk in Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(1), pages 305-344, January.
    12. Yu, Jialin, 2011. "Disagreement and return predictability of stock portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(1), pages 162-183, January.
    13. McMillan, David G., 2013. "Consumption and stock prices: Evidence from a small international panel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 76-88.
    14. Rangvid, Jesper, 2006. "Output and expected returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(3), pages 595-624, September.
    15. Tim Bollerslev & George Tauchen & Hao Zhou, 2009. "Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(11), pages 4463-4492, November.
    16. Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2007. "Modeling Financial Return Dynamics by Decomposition," Working Papers w0095, New Economic School (NES).
    17. John Y. Campbell & Tuomo Vuolteenaho, 2004. "Bad Beta, Good Beta," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(5), pages 1249-1275, December.
    18. Fan, Qinbin & Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R., 2012. "U.S. industry-level returns and oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 112-128.
    19. Angelidis, Timotheos & Tessaromatis, Nikolaos, 2008. "Idiosyncratic volatility and equity returns: UK evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 539-556, June.
    20. Guidolin, Massimo & McMillan, David G. & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "Time varying stock return predictability: Evidence from US sectors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 34-40.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:48:y:2012:i:1:p:117-131. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/MREE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.