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Finance and Macroeconomic Performance. Some Evidence for Emerging Markets

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  • Ali F. Darrat
  • Khaled Elkhal
  • Brent McCallum

Abstract

This paper examines whether financial-sector development in several emerging markets affects their real economic activity. Results from cointegration and error correction models suggest that financial deepening (alternatively measured) exerts a robust longterm stimulating effect on real economic activity (both overall and sectoral) in all countries examined. However, short-term effects of financial deepening prove generally nonexistent, or tenuous at best. The results suggest that improving the structure and operation of the financial sector in emerging markets does stimulate real growth, but only if such improvement persists over a prolonged period of time.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali F. Darrat & Khaled Elkhal & Brent McCallum, 2006. "Finance and Macroeconomic Performance. Some Evidence for Emerging Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 5-28, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:42:y:2006:i:3:p:5-28
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Norman, Neville R., 2015. "Insurance development and the finance-growth nexus: Evidence from 34 OECD countries," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-22.
    3. Zhang, Chengsi & Zhu, Yueteng & Lu, Zhe, 2015. "Trade openness, financial openness, and financial development in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 287-309.
    4. Xia Wang & Yung-Hsin Chen, 2012. "Is the Consumer Sentiment Index Capable of Forecasting the Transaction Activeness of Clients? Case Study for a Commercial Bank in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(0), pages 20-28, January.
    5. Muhammad Arshad Khan & Abdul Qayyum, 2006. "Trade Liberalisation, Financial Sector Reforms, and Growth," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 45(4), pages 711-731.
    6. Dayong Zhang & Yu Wu, 2012. "Household Savings, the Stock Market, and Economic Growth in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 44-58, March.
    7. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & Neville R. Norman & John H. Hall, 2014. "The dynamics of banking sector and stock market maturity and the performance of Asian economies: Time series evidence," Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 30(1), pages 16-44, May.
    8. Eduardo Court & Emre Ozsoz & Erick W. Rengifo, 2012. "The Impact of Deposit Dollarization on Financial Deepening," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 39-52, November.
    9. Dong-Hyeon Kim & Shu-Chin Lin & Yu-Bo Suen, 2012. "Dynamic Effects of Financial Openness on Economic Growth and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 25-54, January.
    10. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Bahmani, Sahar, 2015. "Causal nexus between economic growth, inflation, and stock market development: The case of OECD countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 98-111.
    11. Xia Wang & Yung-Hsin Chen, 2012. "Is the Consumer Sentiment Index Capable of Forecasting the Transaction Activeness of Clients? Case Study for a Commercial Bank in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(0), pages 20-28, January.
    12. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Hall, John H. & Bahmani, Sahar, 2014. "Causal nexus between economic growth, banking sector development, stock market development, and other macroeconomic variables: The case of ASEAN countries," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 155-173.
    13. Orhan Akisik, 2013. "Accounting Regulation, Financial Development, and Economic Growth," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(1), pages 33-67, January.
    14. Dong-Hyeon Kim & Shu-Chin Lin & Yu-Bo Suen, 2012. "Dynamic Effects of Financial Openness on Economic Growth and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 48(1), pages 25-54, January.
    15. Orhan Akisik, 2013. "Accounting Regulation, Financial Development, and Economic Growth," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(1), pages 33-67, January.
    16. Marcelin, Isaac & Mathur, Ike, 2016. "Financial sector development and dollarization in emerging economies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 20-32.
    17. Qichun He, 2012. "Do Financial Liberalization Policies Promote Exports? Evidence from China's Panel Data," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 95-105, November.
    18. Qichun He, 2012. "Do Financial Liberalization Policies Promote Exports? Evidence from China's Panel Data," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 95-105, November.
    19. Yum K. Kwan & Jinyue Dong, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics of China: What Do the Asset Markets Tell Us About the Chinese Utility Function?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(03), pages 77-108, May.
    20. Eduardo Court & Emre Ozsoz & Erick W. Rengifo, 2012. "The Impact of Deposit Dollarization on Financial Deepening," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 48(6), pages 39-52, November.
    21. Dayong Zhang & Yu Wu, 2012. "Household Savings, the Stock Market, and Economic Growth in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 48(2), pages 44-58, March.
    22. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Ghoshray, Atanu, 2015. "The dynamics of economic growth, oil prices, stock market depth, and other macroeconomic variables: Evidence from the G-20 countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 84-95.

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