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A regionális kereskedelmi egyezmények létrejöttét meghatározó tényezők
[Global drivers of regional trade agreements]

Author

Listed:
  • Jámbor, Attila
  • Török, Áron

Abstract

A regionális kereskedelmi megállapodások száma az elmúlt évtizedek során folyamatosan emelkedett, ugyanakkor a létrejöttüket befolyásoló tényezők vizsgálata csak kevéssé kutatott terület. A cikk célja a gravitációs modell újszerű alkalmazásával azonosítani a regionális kereskedelmi megállapodások mögött meghúzódó tényezőket. A számítások alapjául szolgáló adatbázisban 229 országpár adatait elemezzük közel ötvenezres elemszámú mintán. A szakirodalom feltevései szerint a regionális kereskedelmi egyezmények motorja a közös múlt, valamint a földrajzi és kulturális távolság, de ezeket eredményeink csak részben támasztják alá. Számításaink szerint ugyanis a korábbi gyarmati kapcsolatokon alapuló változók hatása a megállapodások létrejöttére nem egyértelmű, a közös nyelv használata ugyanakkor negatív hatással van az egyezmények aláírására, azaz a nem azonos nyelvet beszélő országok intenzívebb kereskedelmet folytatnak egymással. A távolság szerepe egyértelmű: minél távolabb helyezkedik el egymástól két ország, annál kevesebb kereskedelmi megállapodás született közöttük. Végül a földrajzi árujelzők vizsgálata azt mutatta, hogy az eredetvédelem nem játszik meghatározó szerepet a regionális kereskedelmi megállapodások létrejöttében.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: F13, F14.

Suggested Citation

  • Jámbor, Attila & Török, Áron, 2019. "A regionális kereskedelmi egyezmények létrejöttét meghatározó tényezők [Global drivers of regional trade agreements]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 418-433.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1833
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2019.4.418
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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