IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ksa/szemle/1832.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A növekedési ütem és a foglalkoztatás növelésének lehetőségeiről
[The chances of enhancing growth rate and employment]

Author

Listed:
  • Révész, Tamás
  • Boda, György
  • Losonci, Dávid
  • Fülöp, Zoltán

Abstract

Az elmúlt évtizedek tapasztalatai komoly kételyeket keltenek eredményes növekedési szakaszaink hosszú távú fenntarthatóságában. Leküzdöttük-e azokat a szűk keresztmetszeteket, amelyek a konvergencia ütemét hosszú távon visszafoghatják? A magyar gazdaság szerkezetének és a 2010-2015-ös növekedési periódus vállalati fejlődésének az elemzése azt jelzi, hogy még nem. Változatlanul domináns a külföldi működőtőke-befektetések által vezérelt termelési szerkezet, amely az alacsony hozzáadottérték-tartalmú és a relatíve egyre kevesebb dolgozót foglalkoztató növekedést kizárólagosan a multinacionális vállalatok érdekeinek függvé nyévé teszi. Még nem indult el az a belső fejlesztési korrekció, amely a tudásalapú és szolgáltató tevékenységekre támaszkodva jelentősen csökkenthetné Magyarország kitettségét a világgazdasági fejlődés ingadozásainak. Egy ilyen korrekciónak mind a központi fejlesztések terén, mind a vállalati növekedést megfelelően támogató intézményrendszer kialakításában meg kell indulnia. A tanulmány számba veszi a lemaradás e tekintetben megfigyelhető legfontosabb tényezőit, amelyekkel kapcsolatban a kibontakozás lehetőségei is megfogalmazódnak.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: D22.

Suggested Citation

  • Révész, Tamás & Boda, György & Losonci, Dávid & Fülöp, Zoltán, 2019. "A növekedési ütem és a foglalkoztatás növelésének lehetőségeiről [The chances of enhancing growth rate and employment]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 376-417.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1832
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2019.4.376
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.kszemle.hu/tartalom/letoltes.php?id=1832
    Download Restriction: Registration and subscription. 3-month embargo period to non-subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18414/KSZ.2019.4.376?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eric A. Hanushek & Guido Schwerdt & Ludger Woessmann & Lei Zhang, 2017. "General Education, Vocational Education, and Labor-Market Outcomes over the Lifecycle," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 52(1), pages 48-87.
    2. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    3. Tomasz Swiecki, 2017. "Determinants of Structural Change," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 24, pages 95-131, March.
    4. Marcel P. Timmer & Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los & Robert Stehrer & Gaaitzen J. Vries, 2015. "An Illustrated User Guide to the World Input–Output Database: the Case of Global Automotive Production," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 575-605, August.
    5. Dani Rodrik, 2016. "Premature deindustrialization," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-33, March.
    6. Szerb, László & Varga, Attila & Komlósi, Éva, 2017. "Gyors növekedésű vállalatok Magyarországon. Az innovatív, a rejtélyes és a virtuális gazellák [Fast-growing businesses in Hungary: The innovative, mysterious and virtual gazelles]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 476-506.
    7. György Boda, 2017. "To What Extent is Hungary a Knowledge-Based Economy?," Theory Methodology Practice (TMP), Faculty of Economics, University of Miskolc, vol. 13(01), pages 69-84.
    8. Kornai, János, 2005. "Közép-Kelet-Európa nagy átalakulása - siker és csalódás [The great transformation of Central and Eastern Europe - success and disappointment]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 907-936.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Juhász, Péter & Boda, György & Stocker, Miklós & Matyusz, Zsolt, 2021. "A fenntartható gazdasági növekedés és a tudástőke [Sustainable economic growth and knowledge capital]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(S11), pages 2-35.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alessandro Nuvolari & Emanuele Russo, 2019. "Technical progress and structural change: a long-term view," LEM Papers Series 2019/17, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    2. Filipa Correia & Philipp Erfruth & Julie Bryhn, 2018. "The 2030 Agenda: The roadmap to GlobALLizaton," Working Papers 156, United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs.
    3. Lavopa, Alejandro & Szirmai, Adam, 2018. "Structural modernisation and development traps. An empirical approach," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 59-73.
    4. Andre Lorentz & Tommaso Ciarli & Maria Savona & Marco Valente, 2019. "Structural Transformations and Cumulative Causation: Towards an Evolutionary Micro-foundation of the Kaldorian Growth Model," Working Papers of BETA 2019-15, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    5. David Autor & Anna Salomons, 2018. "Is Automation Labor Share–Displacing? Productivity Growth, Employment, and the Labor Share," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(1 (Spring), pages 1-87.
    6. Nassif, André & Morandi, Lucilene & Araújo, Eliane & Feijó, Carmem, 2020. "Economic development and stagnation in Brazil (1950–2011)," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-15.
    7. S. Nazrul Islam & Kenneth Iversen, 2018. "From “Structural Change” to “Transformative Change”: Rationale and Implications," Working Papers 155, United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs.
    8. Helble, Matthias & Long, Trinh & Le, Trang, 2019. "Sectoral and Skill Contributions to Labor Productivity in Asia," ADBI Working Papers 929, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    9. Harald Oberhofer & Christian Glocker & Werner Hölzl & Peter Huber & Serguei Kaniovski & Klaus Nowotny & Michael Pfaffermayr & Monique Ebell & Nikolaos Kontogiannis, 2016. "Single Market Transmission Mechanisms Before, During and After the 2008-09 Crisis. A Quantitative Assessment," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 59156, February.
    10. Jan Hagemejer & Jakub Mućk, 2019. "Export‐led growth and its determinants: Evidence from Central and Eastern European countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(7), pages 1994-2025, July.
    11. Gabriel, Luciano Ferreira & de Santana Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos, 2019. "Economic growth and manufacturing: An analysis using Panel VAR and intersectoral linkages," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 43-61.
    12. Delphin Kamanda Espoir & Nicholas Ngepah, 2021. "Income distribution and total factor productivity: a cross-country panel cointegration analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 661-698, October.
    13. Stemmler, Henry, 2023. "Automated Deindustrialization: How Global Robotization Affects Emerging Economies—Evidence from Brazil," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    14. Wolfgang Britz & Roberto Roson, 2019. "G-RDEM: A GTAP-Based Recursive Dynamic CGE Model for Long-Term Baseline Generation and Analysis," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 4(1), pages 50-96, June.
    15. Kim, Bae-Geun, 2023. "Technological advances in manufacturing and their effects on sectoral employment in the Korean economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    16. Jan Fagerberg & Bengt-Åke Lundvall & Martin Srholec, 2018. "Global Value Chains, National Innovation Systems and Economic Development," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 30(3), pages 533-556, July.
    17. Kayoko Shironitta & Shunsuke Okamoto & Shigemi Kagawa, 2019. "Cross-country analysis of relationship between material input structures and consumption-based CO2 emissions," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 21(4), pages 533-554, October.
    18. Stemmler, Henry, 2019. "Does automation lead to de-industrialization in emerging economies? Evidence from Brazil," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 382, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    19. Dominick Bartelme & Ting Ting & Andrei A. Levchenko, 2020. "Specialization, Market Access and Real Income," Working Papers 679, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan.
    20. Avdiu,Besart & Bagavathinathan,Karan Singh & Chaurey,Ritam & Nayyar,Gaurav, 2022. "India's Services Sector Growth : The Impact of Services Trade on Non-tradable Services," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10094, The World Bank.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1832. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Odon Sok (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.kszemle.hu .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.