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Mode choice and travel distance joint models in school trips

Author

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  • Alireza Ermagun

    (Northwestern University)

  • Amir Samimi

    (Sharif University of Technology)

Abstract

We test a copula-based joint discrete–continuous model to unravel mode choice and travel distance decisions in a joint framework for school trips. This framework explicitly accounts for common unobserved factors that may affect both the mode choice and travel distance. Joint estimation of the models makes a significant difference in the effect of travel distance on willingness to walk to school. The absolute value of the travel distance coefficient in the mode choice model increases by 22% when a joint formulation is adopted instead of the conventional single estimations. We find a significant decrease of 19% in the coefficient of travel safety perception in the joint mode choice model compared to the single model. This underscores the impact of model specification, in terms of the variable effect interpretation and policy assessments. The effect magnitude of several policy-sensitive variables is discussed and compared with previous studies. Particularly, we indicate that the probability of walking is reduced by 0.85% due to a 1% increase in travel distance; accordingly, it propels parents to select non-active modes, particularly school bus. This study also demonstrates how addressing parental concerns about travel safety could double the propensity to walk to school.

Suggested Citation

  • Alireza Ermagun & Amir Samimi, 2018. "Mode choice and travel distance joint models in school trips," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(6), pages 1755-1781, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:45:y:2018:i:6:d:10.1007_s11116-017-9794-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-017-9794-y
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    2. Sandra Mandic & Erika Ikeda & Tom Stewart & Nicholas Garrett & Debbie Hopkins & Jennifer S. Mindell & El Shadan Tautolo & Melody Smith, 2020. "Sociodemographic and Built Environment Associates of Travel to School by Car among New Zealand Adolescents: Meta-Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-17, December.
    3. Saad AlQuhtani, 2023. "Factors Affecting Active Commuting to School in Sprawled Cities: The Case of Najran City, Saudi Arabia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-17, June.
    4. Huasheng Liu & Yuqi Zhao & Jin Li & Yu Li & Xiaowen Li & Sha Yang, 2022. "A Two-Phase, Joint-Commuting Model for Primary and Secondary Schools Considering Parking Sharing," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(11), pages 1-25, May.
    5. Shasha Liu & Toshiyuki Yamamoto & Enjian Yao, 2023. "Joint modeling of mode choice and travel distance with intra-household interactions," Transportation, Springer, vol. 50(5), pages 1527-1552, October.
    6. Li, Qiumeng & Fuerst, Franz & Luca, Davide, 2023. "Do shared E-bikes reduce urban carbon emissions?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120310, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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