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Comparing the performance of models for wider economic benefits of transport infrastructure: results of a Dutch case study

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  • Bert Hof

  • Arjan Heyma

  • Toon Hoorn

Abstract

A case is set up concerning a fictitious Dutch high-speed railway project involving passenger transport. Direct welfare effects are calculated using a standard transport model. On the basis of the case description and the direct effects, five models calculate total welfare effects and wider (indirect) economic benefits. The results of these models are compared. In very broad terms, differences in results can be explained, but on a more detailed level, differences remain that are hard to explain. We also find that large differences in results are caused by differences in the way direct welfare effects are calculated, instead of by differences in wider economic benefits. This suggests that it pays a lot more to focus on understanding and improving direct effect calculations than to try and perfectly quantify wider economic benefits. Copyright The Author(s) 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Bert Hof & Arjan Heyma & Toon Hoorn, 2012. "Comparing the performance of models for wider economic benefits of transport infrastructure: results of a Dutch case study," Transportation, Springer, vol. 39(6), pages 1241-1258, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:39:y:2012:i:6:p:1241-1258
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-011-9383-4
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    Cited by:

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    2. Wang, Zhuowei & Chan, Ho-Yin & Xu, Yingying & Chen, Anthony, 2025. "System dynamics in railway project appraisal: Assessing student productivity and wider economic benefits in the knowledge economy," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    3. Andersson, Matts & Dehlin, Fredrik & Jörgensen, Peter & Pädam, Sirje, 2015. "Wider economic impacts of accessibility: a literature survey," Working papers in Transport Economics 2015:14, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    4. Pogonyi, Csaba G. & Graham, Daniel J. & Carbo, Jose M., 2021. "Metros, agglomeration and displacement. Evidence from London," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

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