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A Calibration Procedure of Dynamic CGE Models for Non-steady State Situations Using GEMPACK

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  • Wendner, Ronald

Abstract

This paper is concerned with the development of a calibration procedure for dynamic CGE models for non-steady state situations. While the literature on calibration of dynamic models mainly concentrates on the process of calibration in the context of a steady state, this essay centers upon the calibration procedure for the case that the model's state variables are not initially at their steady state values. Though this is the more realistic interpretation of a base year's data set it raises a number of additional difficulties including intertemporal feedback and the requirement that the basic data are consistent with the intertemporal equations of the model. These difficulties are discussed and a procedure is presented which can cope with them. Finally, the procedure is applied to an overlapping generations growth model with foresight and the steps involved in calibration are illustrated in detail. Citation Copyright 1999 by Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Suggested Citation

  • Wendner, Ronald, 1999. "A Calibration Procedure of Dynamic CGE Models for Non-steady State Situations Using GEMPACK," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 13(3), pages 265-287, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:13:y:1999:i:3:p:265-87
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    Cited by:

    1. Van Ha, Pham & Kompas, Tom & Nguyen, Hoa Thi Minh & Long, Chu Hoang, 2017. "Building a better trade model to determine local effects: A regional and intertemporal GTAP model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 102-113.
    2. Arora, Vipin & Tyers, Rod, 2012. "Asset arbitrage and the price of oil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 142-150.
    3. Wei Jin, 2012. "Can Technological Innovation Help China Take on Its Climate Responsibility? A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," CAMA Working Papers 2012-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    4. Farmer, Karl & Wendner, Ronald, 2004. "Dynamic multi-sector CGE modeling and the specification of capital," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 469-492, December.
    5. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4345 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Jin, Wei, 2012. "Can technological innovation help China take on its climate responsibility? An intertemporal general equilibrium analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 629-641.
    7. Mohamed Ali Marouani, 2007. "Is the End of the MFA a threat for the Tunisian Economy?," Working Papers DT/2007/05, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    8. DURAND-LASSERVE, Olivier & Pierru , Axel & SMEERS, Yves, 2012. "Sensitivity of policy simulation to benchmark scenarios in CGE models: illustration with carbon leakage," CORE Discussion Papers 2012063, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    9. T. Nicolaus Tideman & Florenz Plassmann, 2006. "An algorithm for sequential solutions of dynamic CGE models with perfect foresight over an infinite numbers of periods," Working Papers e07-6, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Economics.
    10. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4104 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Mark Partridge & Dan Rickman, 2010. "Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Modelling for Regional Economic Development Analysis," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(10), pages 1311-1328.
    12. Masahiro Kawai & Fan Zhai, 2010. "Asia’s Post-Global Financial Crisis Adjustment : A Model-Based Dynamic Scenario Analysis," Finance Working Papers 23055, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    13. repec:got:cegedp:39 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Takeda, Shiro, 2007. "The double dividend from carbon regulations in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 336-364, September.
    15. Sara Proença, 2013. "The role of renewable energy in Portugal´s decarbonisation strategy – application of the HyBGEM model," EcoMod2013 5647, EcoMod.
    16. Berrittella, Maria & Zhang, Jian, 2015. "Fiscal sustainability in the EU: From the short-term risk to the long-term challenge," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 261-280.
    17. Wei Jin, 2012. "International Knowledge Spillover and Technology Externality: Why Multilateral R&D Coordination Matters for Global Climate Governance," CAMA Working Papers 2012-53, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    18. Marouani, Mohamed A., 2005. "The Impact of the Multifiber Agreement Phaseout on Unemployment in Tunisia: A Prospective Dynamic Analysis," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers 39, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    19. Rasmussen, Tobias N. & Rutherford, Thomas F., 2004. "Modeling overlapping generations in a complementarity format," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1383-1409, April.
    20. Wei Jin, 2012. "Can China Harness Globalization to Reap Carbon Savings? Modeling International Technology Diffusion in a Multi-region Framework," CAMA Working Papers 2012-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

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