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A Transfer Function Analysis of Real Estate Capitalization Rates

A national multifamily and nonresidential real estate capitalization rate shows sensitivity to the analogous earnings/price ratio aggregated from the stock market. Both time series seen to have the same ARIMA characteristics. However, a transfer function analysis indicates that the sensitivity comes with a one quarter lag. Thus, even sophisticated real estate investors seem slow to adjust to changes in business cycle and monetary conditions that cause quicker changes in the stock market.

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File URL: http://pages.jh.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol05n03/v05p371.pdf
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Article provided by American Real Estate Society in its journal Journal of Real Estate Research.

Volume (Year): 5 (1990)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 371-380

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Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:5:n:3:1990:p:371-380
Contact details of provider: Postal: American Real Estate Society Clemson University School of Business & Behavioral Science Department of Finance 401 Sirrine Hall Clemson, SC 29634-1323
Web page: http://www.aresnet.org/
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Order Information: Postal: Diane Quarles American Real Estate Society Manager of Member Services Clemson University Box 341323 Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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  1. George W. Gau & Ko Wang, 1990. "A Further Examination of Appraisal Data and the Potential Bias in Real Estate Return Indexes," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 18(1), pages 40-48.
  2. S. Michael Giliberto, 1988. "A Note on the use of Appraisal Data in Indexes of Performance Measurement," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 77-83.
  3. Darrat, Ali F & Glascock, John L, 1989. "Real Estate Returns, Money and Fiscal Deficits: Is the Real Estate Market Efficient?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 197-208, September.
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