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Duration and Risk



Duration has long been used as a means of managing the risk of bond portfolios. It has also been extended to the analysis of equities. Although it is often been compared with the half-life of an asset it is more correct to consider duration as the approximate percentage change in price for each one-percent change in yield. Given this view it will be seen that the volatility of an asset and its duration are closely related. This paper uses the duration of a conventional valuation model to estimate both the volatility and total risk of the each sector of the UK commercial property market relative to the property market as a whole. The approach has potential value in estimating the risk of a new property where historic time series information is either limited on not available. In addition, by drawing a distinction between ex-post and ex-ante measures of risk the paper also estimates the inflation flow through rate for different lease structures.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerald R. Brown, 2000. "Duration and Risk," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 20(3), pages 337-356.
  • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:20:n:3:2000:p:337-356

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Boquist, John A & Racette, George A & Schlarbaum, Gary G, 1975. "Duration and Risk Assessment for Bonds and Common Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 30(5), pages 1360-1365, December.
    2. Livingston, Miles, 1978. "Duration and Risk Assessment for Bonds and Common Stocks: A Note," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 33(1), pages 293-295, March.
    3. Lanstein, Ronald & Sharpe, William F., 1978. "Duration and Security Risk," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(04), pages 653-668, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexius, Annika, 2004. "Far Out on the Yield Curve," Working Paper Series 2004:12, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.

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    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services


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