IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jfr/ijfr11/v15y2024i3p33-53.html

The Impact of Political Contributions and Election Bets on Abnormal Stock Returns and Shareholder Equity in Taiwan's Presidential Elections

Author

Listed:
  • Ai-Chi Hsu
  • Jing-Long Yu
  • Tse-Mao Lin

Abstract

In recent years, there has been extensive research in the field of political campaign financing. The theoretical discussions on political campaign expenditures and donations, as well as the corresponding empirical results, remain controversial. This study aims to explore the relationship between political contributions and political connections, particularly the intriguing relationship between political contributions and the value of donating companies. Using event study methodology, the study examines the impact of election events on the short-term Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CAR) of company stock prices. Additionally, the study equations research hypotheses and constructs a multiple regression model, adjusting for corporate characteristic parameters and econometric parameters, to investigate the effects of the Political Connections Index (PCI) and Election Betting Results on the long-term corporate value of companies that donate political contributions. Insights can be provided on the impact of corporate political contributions and election betting results on short-term cumulative abnormal returns and the long-term efficiency of corporate shareholder equity.

Suggested Citation

  • Ai-Chi Hsu & Jing-Long Yu & Tse-Mao Lin, 2024. "The Impact of Political Contributions and Election Bets on Abnormal Stock Returns and Shareholder Equity in Taiwan's Presidential Elections," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 15(3), pages 33-53, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:jfr:ijfr11:v:15:y:2024:i:3:p:33-53
    DOI: 10.5430/ijfr.v15n3p33
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.sciedu.ca/journal/index.php/ijfr/article/view/26175/16294
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.sciedu.ca/journal/index.php/ijfr/article/view/26175
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5430/ijfr.v15n3p33?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. James Ang & Carol Boyer, 2007. "Finance and politics: the wealth effects of special interest group influence during the nationalisation and privatisation of Conrail," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 31(2), pages 193-215, March.
    2. Lee, Jongsub & Lee, Kwang J. & Nagarajan, Nandu J., 2014. "Birds of a feather: Value implications of political alignment between top management and directors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 232-250.
    3. Austen-Smith, David, 1995. "Campaign Contributions and Access," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 89(3), pages 566-581, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Laura A. Wellman, 2017. "Mitigating political uncertainty," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 217-250, March.
    2. Matthias Dahm & Nicolás Porteiro, 2008. "Informational lobbying under the shadow of political pressure," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 30(4), pages 531-559, May.
    3. Xing, Lu & Gonzalez, Angelica & Sila, Vathunyoo, 2021. "Does cooperation among women enhance or impede firm performance?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(4).
    4. Bennedsen, Morten & Feldmann, Sven E., 2006. "Informational lobbying and political contributions," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(4-5), pages 631-656, May.
    5. Gregor Martin, 2015. "To Invite or Not to Invite a Lobby, That Is the Question," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(2), pages 143-166, July.
    6. Cotton, Christopher, 2012. "Pay-to-play politics: Informational lobbying and contribution limits when money buys access," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 369-386.
    7. Matthias Dahm & Robert Dur & Amihai Glazer, 2009. "Lobbying of Firms by Voters," Working Papers 080926, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    8. Prado, Melissa & Evans, Richard B. & Zambrana, Rafael, 2020. "Identity, Diversity, and Team Performance: Evidence from U.S. Mutual Funds," CEPR Discussion Papers 14305, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    9. Laussel, Didier & van Ypersele, Tanguy, 2007. "Should We Really Expect More from Our Friends?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6233, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    10. Giacomo A. M. Ponzetto & Maria Petrova & Ruben Enikolopov, 2008. "The Dracula effect: voter information and trade policy," Economics Working Papers 1296, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2020.
    11. Cédric van Appelghem & Pascal Nguyen, 2020. "Do CEO-Board ties affect the firm's cost of equity? [La proximité entre le dirigeant et les administrateurs a-t-elle un impact sur le coût des fonds propres ?]," Working Papers hal-02880367, HAL.
    12. Ohmura, Hanako, 2025. "Investing with a political lens: Partisanship and stock market predictions in Japan," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    13. Martin Gregor, 2011. "Corporate lobbying: A review of the recent literature," Working Papers IES 2011/32, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Nov 2011.
    14. Cotton, Christopher, 2015. "Competing for Attention," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 274670, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
    15. repec:ers:journl:v:v:y:2017:i:2:p:14-24 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. DAHM, Matthias & PORTEIRO, Nicolas, 2003. "The political economy of interest groups: pressure and information," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2003057, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    17. repec:bge:wpaper:514 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Agoraki, Maria-Eleni K. & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2022. "U.S. banks’ IPOs and political money contributions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    19. Adam R. Fremeth & Guy L. F. Holburn & Richard G. Vanden Bergh, 2016. "Corporate Political Strategy in Contested Regulatory Environments," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 1(4), pages 272-284, December.
    20. Lagerlof, Johan & Frisell, Lars, 2004. "Lobbying, Information Transmission and Unequal Representation," CEPR Discussion Papers 4313, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    21. Luca Lambertini, 2014. "Dynamic Analysis of an Electoral Campaign," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Josef Haunschmied & Vladimir M. Veliov & Stefan Wrzaczek (ed.), Dynamic Games in Economics, edition 127, pages 187-204, Springer.
    22. Ann L. Owen & Judit Temesvary & Andrew Wei, 2024. "Gender and Professional Networks on Bank Boards," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 66(3), pages 227-262, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jfr:ijfr11:v:15:y:2024:i:3:p:33-53. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Gina Perry (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://ijfr.sciedupress.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.