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Risk analysis of the proxy life-cycle investments in the second pillar pension scheme in Croatia

Author

Listed:
  • Renata Kovacevic

    (Raiffeisen Mandatory and Voluntary Pension Funds Management Company Plc, Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Mladen Latkovic

    (Raiffeisen Mandatory and Voluntary Pension Funds Management Company Plc, Zagreb, Croatia)

Abstract

In this article we analyze the expected risk of pension funds with different risk profiles in the proxy life-cycle model of investments for the 2nd pillar pension scheme in Croatia. The benefits of implementing proxy life-cycle investments, compared to the previous model of mandatory pension funds investments, are clearly visible in the total expected amount of accumulated savings from the risk/return perspective. However, those benefits are partially diminished by the fact that the expected risk of a pension fund with the lowest risk profile is not substantially different from the expected risk of a pension fund with a medium risk profile, due to the lack of diversification. Additionally, we analyze the robustness of the proxy life-cycle model to a sudden and severe market shock, where we determine the presence of risk for those members who choose to switch to a pension fund with a lower risk profile at an unfavorable moment.

Suggested Citation

  • Renata Kovacevic & Mladen Latkovic, 2015. "Risk analysis of the proxy life-cycle investments in the second pillar pension scheme in Croatia," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 39(1), pages 31-55.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipf:finteo:v:39:y:2015:i:1:p:31-55
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lusardi, Annamaria (ed.), 2009. "Overcoming the Saving Slump," University of Chicago Press Economics Books, University of Chicago Press, number 9780226497099, September.
    2. Shiller, Robert J., 2006. "Life-cycle personal accounts proposal for Social Security: An evaluation of President Bush's proposal," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 427-444, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrey Kudryavtsev & Shosh Shahrabani & Yaniv Azoulay, 2017. "Frequency of Adjusting Asset Allocations in the Life-Cycle Pension Model: When Doing More Is Not Necessarily Better," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 13-33.
    2. Yaniv Azoulay & Andrey Kudryavtsev & Shosh Shahrabani, 2016. "Accumulating approach to the life-cycle pension model: practical advantages," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 40(4), pages 413-436.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    defined contribution system; pension funds; life-cycle investing; portfolio risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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