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A Learning Approach for Interactive Marketing to a Customer Segment

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  • Dimitris Bertsimas

    (Sloan School of Management and Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139)

  • Adam J. Mersereau

    (Kenan-Flagler Business School, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina 27599)

Abstract

When a marketer in an interactive environment decides which messages to send to her customers, she may send messages currently thought to be most promising (exploitation) or use poorly understood messages for the purpose of information gathering (exploration). We assume that customers are already clustered into homogeneous segments, and we consider the adaptive learning of message effectiveness within a customer segment. We present a Bayesian formulation of the problem in which decisions are made for batches of customers simultaneously, although decisions may vary within a batch. This extends the classical multiarmed bandit problem for sampling one-by-one from a set of reward populations. Our solution methods include a Lagrangian decomposition-based approximate dynamic programming approach and a heuristic based on a known asymptotic approximation to the multiarmed bandit solution. Computational results show that our methods clearly outperform approaches that ignore the effects of information gain.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimitris Bertsimas & Adam J. Mersereau, 2007. "A Learning Approach for Interactive Marketing to a Customer Segment," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 55(6), pages 1120-1135, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:55:y:2007:i:6:p:1120-1135
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.1070.0427
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Andrews, Rick L. & Brusco, Michael J. & Currim, Imran S., 2010. "Amalgamation of partitions from multiple segmentation bases: A comparison of non-model-based and model-based methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 608-618, March.
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    5. Elodie Adida & Georgia Perakis, 2010. "Dynamic pricing and inventory control: robust vs. stochastic uncertainty models—a computational study," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 181(1), pages 125-157, December.
    6. Ahuja, Vishal & Birge, John R., 2016. "Response-adaptive designs for clinical trials: Simultaneous learning from multiple patients," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 248(2), pages 619-633.
    7. Eric M. Schwartz & Eric T. Bradlow & Peter S. Fader, 2017. "Customer Acquisition via Display Advertising Using Multi-Armed Bandit Experiments," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(4), pages 500-522, July.
    8. Hamsa Bastani & Kimon Drakopoulos & Vishal Gupta & Jon Vlachogiannis & Christos Hadjichristodoulou & Pagona Lagiou & Gkikas Magiorkinis & Dimitrios Paraskevis & Sotirios Tsiodras, 2022. "Interpretable Operations Research for High-Stakes Decisions: Designing the Greek COVID-19 Testing System," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 52(5), pages 398-411, September.
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    10. Jacko, Peter & Niño Mora, José, 2009. "An index for dynamic product promotion and the knapsack problem for perishable items," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws093111, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    11. Onesun Steve Yoo & Kevin McCardle, 2020. "The Valuator’s Curse: Decision Analysis of Overvaluation and Disappointment in Acquisition," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 17(4), pages 299-313, December.
    12. David B. Brown & James E. Smith, 2020. "Index Policies and Performance Bounds for Dynamic Selection Problems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(7), pages 3029-3050, July.
    13. Ohlmann, Jeffrey W. & Bean, James C., 2009. "Resource-constrained management of heterogeneous assets with stochastic deterioration," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 199(1), pages 198-208, November.
    14. He, Qiao-Chu & Chen, Ying-Ju, 2018. "Dynamic pricing of electronic products with consumer reviews," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 123-134.
    15. Francisco Alvarez, 2018. "Decomposing risk in an exploitation–exploration problem with endogenous termination time," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 261(1), pages 45-77, February.
    16. Yiangos Papanastasiou & Kostas Bimpikis & Nicos Savva, 2018. "Crowdsourcing Exploration," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(4), pages 1727-1746, April.
    17. Jue Wang, 2021. "Optimal Bayesian Demand Learning over Short Horizons," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(4), pages 1154-1177, April.
    18. Springborn, Michael R., 2014. "Risk aversion and adaptive management: Insights from a multi-armed bandit model of invasive species risk," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 226-242.
    19. Deligiannis, Michalis & Liberopoulos, George, 2023. "Dynamic ordering and buyer selection policies when service affects future demand," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    20. Hao Zhang, 2022. "Analytical Solution to a Discrete-Time Model for Dynamic Learning and Decision Making," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(8), pages 5924-5957, August.
    21. Daniel Adelman & Adam J. Mersereau, 2008. "Relaxations of Weakly Coupled Stochastic Dynamic Programs," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 56(3), pages 712-727, June.
    22. Elea McDonnell Feit & Ron Berman, 2019. "Test & Roll: Profit-Maximizing A/B Tests," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 38(6), pages 1038-1058, November.
    23. Nicolás Aramayo & Mario Schiappacasse & Marcel Goic, 2023. "A Multiarmed Bandit Approach for House Ads Recommendations," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(2), pages 271-292, March.
    24. Vivek F. Farias & Ritesh Madan, 2011. "The Irrevocable Multiarmed Bandit Problem," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 59(2), pages 383-399, April.
    25. Vishal Ahuja & John R. Birge, 2020. "An Approximation Approach for Response-Adaptive Clinical Trial Design," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 32(4), pages 877-894, October.

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