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Moderating Effect of Tactical Asset Allocation on the Risk-Return Relationship in the Nigerian Stock Market

Author

Listed:
  • Yusuf Olatunji Oyedeko

    (Federal University, Oye-Ekiti, Nigeria)

  • Olusola Segun Kolawole

    (Babcock University, Ilishan-Remo, Nigeria)

  • Regina Samson

    (University of Abuja, Abuja, Nigeria)

  • Olena Voloshyna

    ("Institute of Agrarian Economics" National Scientific Centre, Kyiv, Ukraine)

Abstract

Before making investment decisions, the investor must find out the risk-return characteristics of investments with the help of investment strategies. These investment strategies, including drawdown, tactical asset allocation and short selling, are used by investors and fund managers to improve portfolio performance by maximizing returns and minimizing risks. This study aims to examine the moderating effect of tactical asset allocation on the risk-return relationship in the Nigerian stock market. The study sample is 90 stocks that are consistently traded in the Nigerian stock market within the period of sixteen years on a monthly basis. The study employed time series data which were extracted from the NGX website, annual financial statement, and CBN statistical bulletin. This study's data collection and analysis framework was based on the methodology of Fama and French (2015) using FamaMacbeth's two-step regression. The study used the difference between the logarithmic present value of the price and the previous value of the price to compute the return. Evidence from the result revealed that tactical asset allocation is not significantly priced under the CoFF5F and HMFF5F in the Nigerian stock market. Also, introducing tactical asset allocation as the moderating variable does not improve the relationship between risk and return in the Nigerian stock market. In light of this, the study concluded that tactical asset allocation could not be used to improve the relationship between risk and return through the minimization of risk and maximization of return in the Nigerian stock market. The study recommends that other investment strategies, such as drawdown, short selling etc., can be used by investors to improve the relationship between risk and return in the Nigerian stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Yusuf Olatunji Oyedeko & Olusola Segun Kolawole & Regina Samson & Olena Voloshyna, 2023. "Moderating Effect of Tactical Asset Allocation on the Risk-Return Relationship in the Nigerian Stock Market," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 2, pages 83-91, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:iaf:journl:y:2023:i:2:p:83-91
    DOI: 10.33146/2307-9878-2023-2(100)-83-91
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zunera Shaukat & Ahmad Shahzad, 2019. "Impact of Portfolio Strategies on Portfolio Performance and Risk," International Journal of Business Administration, International Journal of Business Administration, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(1), pages 73-86, January.
    2. Adedoyin Isola Lawal, 2014. "Tactical Assets Allocation: Evidence from the Nigerian Banking Industry," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 10(2), pages 193-204, April.
    3. Adam Zaremba & Mehmet Umutlu, 2018. "Strategies can be expensive too! The value spread and asset allocation in global equity markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(60), pages 6529-6546, December.
    4. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2015. "A five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 1-22.
    5. Fahim Afzal & Pan Haiying & Farman Afzal & Faisal Ghafoor Bhatti, 2020. "Predicting Time-Lag Stock Return Using Tactical Asset Allocation Trading Strategies Across Global Stock Indices," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(1), pages 115-122, January.
    6. Claudia Mihaela Rapan & Viorel-Costin Banta & Andreea Serban & Andreia Manea, 2022. "Analysis of the Net Result and the Comprehensive Income: An Empirical Study of the Listed Companies on the Bucharest Stock Exchange," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 2, pages 76-81, June.
    7. Umutlu, Mehmet & Bengitöz, Pelin, 2020. "The cross-section of industry equity returns and global tactical asset allocation across regions and industries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Yang, Junmin & Cao, Zhiguang & Han, Qiheng & Wang, Qiyu, 2019. "Tactical asset allocation on technical trading rules and data snooping," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    risk; return; tactical asset allocation; CoFF5F; HMFF5F;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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