IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/hrs/journl/vxiiy2020i1p75-86.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Changes In Human Geography: Scenarios Of Counter-Urbanization In The Context Of Economic Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Evgenia ANASTASIOU

    (Postdoctoral Researcher, University of Thessaly)

Abstract

The last decade economic developments affected to a large extend the demographic structure of Greece. The period 2001-2011 is characterized by a net slowdown of the intense urbanization trend, while in the context of crisis there have been identified counter-urban trends, revealing new attractiveness zones in the rural areas. These indications of mobility do not concern entirely the countryside as the newcomers settle only in specific rural spatial units. At the same time these areas have specific features that facilitate the establishment of a new population, such as population dynamics, tourism development, agricultural activity, services and structures, reduction of geographical isolation, low cost of living and habitation. The future of internal migration in Greece heavily depends on existing trends as well as future economic, social and political developments. Though, the lack of official data for the period after 2011 constrains our understanding for the development of internal migration and particularly counter-urban trends in Greece. The present paper raises the issue of the prospects of the establishment of the Greek population in the countryside, taking into account the pull factors of rural areas. Through Foresight and Strategic Thinking Methods, a longer-term framework is being developed to reflect the potential strategic choices of the internal migrants. This approach is based on a mainly qualitative analysis, scenario planning, in order to present the prerequisites for the further development of such a type of mobility.

Suggested Citation

  • Evgenia ANASTASIOU, 2020. "Changes In Human Geography: Scenarios Of Counter-Urbanization In The Context Of Economic Crisis," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 75-86, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:hrs:journl:v:xii:y:2020:i:1:p:75-86
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.rsijournal.eu/ARTICLES/June_2020/6.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kyriaki Remoundou & Menelaos Gkartzios & Guy Garrod, 2016. "Conceptualizing Mobility in Times of Crisis: Towards Crisis-Led Counterurbanization?," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(10), pages 1663-1674, October.
    2. Claudio Gomez Portaleoni & Svetla Marinova & Rehan ul-Haq & Marin Marinov, 2013. "Corporate Foresight and Strategic Decisions," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-137-32697-3, March.
    3. Despina P. DIMELLI, 2016. "Planning Settlements In The Greek Islands," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 23-38, June.
    4. Lamara HADJOU & Marie Noëlle DUQUENNE, 2013. "A Theoretical And Methodological Approach Of "Fragile" Areas: The Cases Of Greek Regions Crossed By The Egnatia Road," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 45-58, December.
    5. Yannis Psycharis & Dimitris Kallioras & Panagiotis Pantazis, 2014. "Economic crisis and regional resilience: detecting the ‘geographical footprint’ of economic crisis in Greece," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(2), pages 121-141, June.
    6. Georgios Xanthos & Christos Ap. Ladias & Christos Genitsaropoulos, 2013. "A Method For Forecasting Population Changes In Alpine, Semi-Alpine And Lowland Communities Of Epirus Region In Greece," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 173-179, June.
    7. Anastasia STRATIGEA, 2014. "Setting Policy Targets for the Future of Agriculture in Eu 2020 – A Methodological Approach," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 95-110, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dimitrios TSIOTAS & Nikolaos AXELIS & Serafeim POLYZOS, 2022. "Detecting City-Dipoles In Greece Based On Intercity Commuting," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 11-30, June.
    2. Daniela- Luminița CONSTANTIN & Corina- Cristiana NASTACĂ & Emilia GEAMBASU, 2021. "Population Accessibility To Rail Services. Insights Through The Lens Of Territorial Cohesion," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 81-98, June.
    3. Daniela- Luminița CONSTANTIN & Corina- Cristiana NASTACĂ & Emilia GEAMBASU, 2021. "Population Accessibility To Rail Services. Insights Through The Lens Of Territorial Cohesion," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 81-101, June.
    4. Siti Afni ANISAH & Lestari Rahayu WALUYATI & Agus Dwi NUGROHO, 2021. "Could A New Agricultural Auction Market Implement A Good Marketing Mix?," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 181-191, June.
    5. Inna MANAEVA & Anna TKACHEVA & Elena CHENTSOVA & Elena ILYICHEVA, 2021. "Assessment Of The Interconnectedness Of Cities In The Russian Far East," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 123-133, June.
    6. Evgenia Anastasiou & Stella Manika & Konstantina Ragazou & Ioannis Katsios, 2021. "Territorial and Human Geography Challenges: How Can Smart Villages Support Rural Development and Population Inclusion?," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-15, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eveline S. van Leeuwen & Viktor A. Venhorst, 2021. "Do households prefer to move up or down the urban hierarchy during an economic crisis?," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 263-289, April.
    2. Dimitrios TSIOTAS & Nikolaos AXELIS & Serafeim POLYZOS, 2022. "Detecting City-Dipoles In Greece Based On Intercity Commuting," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 11-30, June.
    3. Imade Yoga PRASADA & Aura DHAMIRA & Agus Dwi NUGROHO, 2021. "Effects Of Climatic Factors On The Productivity Of Smallholder Rubber Plantations In South Sumatra, Indonesia," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 109-121, June.
    4. Kostas Rontos & Barbara Ermini & Luca Salvati, 2023. "Enlarging the divide? Per-Capita Income as a measure of social inequalities in a southern European City," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 345-361, February.
    5. Tom Wilson & Irina Grossman & Monica Alexander & Phil Rees & Jeromey Temple, 2022. "Methods for Small Area Population Forecasts: State-of-the-Art and Research Needs," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(3), pages 865-898, June.
    6. Rosanna Salvia & Gianluca Egidi & Luca Salvati & Jesús Rodrigo-Comino & Giovanni Quaranta, 2020. "In-Between ‘Smart’ Urban Growth and ‘Sluggish’ Rural Development? Reframing Population Dynamics in Greece, 1940–2019," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-18, July.
    7. Luca Salvati, 2020. "Demographic Dynamics, Urban Cycles and Economic Downturns: A Long-term Investigation of a Metropolitan Region in Europe, 1956–2016," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 39(3), pages 549-575, June.
    8. Massimiliano Agovino & Massimiliano Cerciello & Aniello Ferraro & Antonio Garofalo, 2022. "A Regional Perspective on Social Exclusion in European Regions: Context, Trends and Policy Implications," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 8(2), pages 409-433, July.
    9. E. ERNAWATI & Raja MASBAR & M. Shabri Abd. MAJID & Abd. JAMAL, 2021. "Production And Marketing Efficiency Of Patchouli Oil Industry In Indonesia," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 135-148, June.
    10. Yang, Eunjung & Kim, Jinwon & Pennington-Gray, Lori & Ash, Kevin, 2021. "Does tourism matter in measuring community resilience?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    11. Luca Salvati & Margherita Carlucci, 2020. "Shaping Dimensions of Urban Complexity: The Role of Economic Structure and Socio-Demographic Local Contexts," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(1), pages 263-285, January.
    12. Pietro Pizzuto, 2020. "The role of regional competitiveness in shaping the heterogeneous impact of the Great Recession," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(2), pages 267-290, April.
    13. Panagiotis ARTELARIS & George KANDYLIS, 2014. "Mapping Poverty At Regional Level In Greece," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 39, pages 131-147.
    14. Luca Salvati, 2018. "Population growth and the economic crisis: understanding latent patterns of change in Greece, 2002–2016," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 105-126, July.
    15. Pontarollo, Nicola & Serpieri, Carolina, 2020. "A composite policy tool to measure territorial resilience capacity," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Jana OSTARKOVA & Michaela STANICKOVA, 2021. "Editorial: How well do we know the issue of resilience? Literary research of current levels of knowledge," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 12, pages 12-42, August.
    17. Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir & Gianluca Egidi & Rosanna Salvia & Luca Salvati & Adele Sateriano & Antonio Gimenez-Morera, 2021. "Recession, Local Fertility, and Urban Sustainability: Results of a Quasi-Experiment in Greece, 1991–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-18, January.
    18. Luca Salvati, 2016. "The Dark Side of the Crisis: Disparities in per Capita income (2000–12) and the Urban-Rural Gradient in Greece," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 107(5), pages 628-641, December.
    19. Samaneh Sadat Nickayin & Francesco Chelli & Rosario Turco & Bogdana Nosova & Chara Vavoura & Luca Salvati, 2022. "Economic Downturns, Urban Growth and Suburban Fertility in a Mediterranean Context," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-26, October.
    20. Giovanni Marin & Marco Modica, 2019. "The Survival of Italian Individual Firms to Local Demand Shocks During the Great Recession," Working Papers 1902, University of Urbino Carlo Bo, Department of Economics, Society & Politics - Scientific Committee - L. Stefanini & G. Travaglini, revised 2019.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    foresight; scenario planning; internal migration; population; countryside;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hrs:journl:v:xii:y:2020:i:1:p:75-86. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dimitrios K. Kouzas (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.