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A Method For Forecasting Population Changes In Alpine, Semi-Alpine And Lowland Communities Of Epirus Region In Greece

Author

Listed:
  • Georgios Xanthos

    (Technological Education Institute of Crete, Greece)

  • Christos Ap. Ladias

    (University of Central Greece)

  • Christos Genitsaropoulos

    (University of Central Greece and Technological Education Institute of Lamia, Greece)

Abstract

The prediction to the extent possible of the future size of the population of a region and its distribution among the settlements of the region is evidently significant for regional planning. In this paper, deriving data from population censuses, we attempted to predict the population of alpine, semi-alpine and lowland settlements of the Epirus Region. To perform the prediction, we applied a modified version of the shift and share method. In addition to applying the method, we evaluated its predictive ability in relation to a) the fixed share method, b) the fixed magnifications share method and c) the classical shift and share method, suggesting the relevant statistical tests.

Suggested Citation

  • Georgios Xanthos & Christos Ap. Ladias & Christos Genitsaropoulos, 2013. "A Method For Forecasting Population Changes In Alpine, Semi-Alpine And Lowland Communities Of Epirus Region In Greece," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 173-179, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:hrs:journl:v:v:y:2013:i:1:p:173-179
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wilson, Thomas & Grossman, Irina & Alexander, Monica & Rees, Philip & Temple, Jeromey, 2021. "Methods for small area population forecasts: state-of-the-art and research needs," SocArXiv sp6me, Center for Open Science.
    2. Dimitrios TSIOTAS & Nikolaos AXELIS & Serafeim POLYZOS, 2022. "Detecting City-Dipoles In Greece Based On Intercity Commuting," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 11-30, June.
    3. Vita HAVRYLIUK & Andrii HROMYK & Ivan SEMENETS & Tetiana PYLYPIUK & Rostislav MOTSYK & Anna KOSTYAKOVA, 2021. "Digitalization Of Territorial And Economic Systems At The Regional Level," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 209-226, June.
    4. Filipos RUXHO & Christos Ap. LADIAS, 2022. "Increasing Funding For The Regional Industry Of Kosovo And The Impact On Economic Growth," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 117-126, June.
    5. Evgenia ANASTASIOU, 2020. "Changes In Human Geography: Scenarios Of Counter-Urbanization In The Context Of Economic Crisis," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 75-86, June.
    6. Ilirjana ZYBERI & Antoneta POLO, 2021. "Impact Of Service And E-Service Quality, Price And Image On The Trust And Loyalty Of The Electronic Banking Customers," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 59-68, June.
    7. Tom Wilson & Irina Grossman & Monica Alexander & Phil Rees & Jeromey Temple, 2022. "Methods for Small Area Population Forecasts: State-of-the-Art and Research Needs," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(3), pages 865-898, June.
    8. Veacheslav SHEBANIN & Iurii KORMYSHKIN & Alona KLIUCHNYK & Iryna ALLAKHVERDIYEVA & Valentyna UMANSKA, 2022. "Tools Of Formation Of The System Of Socio-Economic Security Of Territorial Communities Of The Region," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 127-136, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    prediction of population shift-share method;

    JEL classification:

    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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