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Study on Urban Land Simulation under the Perspective of Local Climate Zoning—A Case Study of Guiyang City

Author

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  • Yulong Shu

    (College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China
    Research Center for Urban and Rural Heritage Protection, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China)

  • Kai Lin

    (School of Urban Design, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)

  • Yafang Yu

    (College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China
    Research Center for Urban and Rural Heritage Protection, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China)

Abstract

The examination of land-use change simulations across a range of scenarios represents a pivotal research avenue for the advancement of sustainable development analysis. Nevertheless, the extant research merely categorises all building land in a land-use classification into a single category, which is unable to provide a detailed analysis of the dynamic internal spatial form of the city. This paper analyses 17 LCZ land-use types in Guiyang City in 2013 and 2022, and reclassifies them into 7 RLCZ land-use types based on the height of urban building sites. It also proposes three possible scenarios of BAU, WLC, and SPC in 2040 and simulates their land-use changes using the PLUS model. The results demonstrate that (1) the size of low-rise buildings in Guiyang has declined significantly over the past decade; (2) built-up land within cities is significantly affected by drivers such as night-time lighting, topography, elevation, and roads; (3) the SPC scenario emphasises a development pattern of land intensification and a focus on high density in urban built space. It also protects the stability of the ecosystem. The scenario can provide informative suggestions for spatial pattern changes in rapidly developing cities such as Guiyang.

Suggested Citation

  • Yulong Shu & Kai Lin & Yafang Yu, 2024. "Study on Urban Land Simulation under the Perspective of Local Climate Zoning—A Case Study of Guiyang City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-19, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:18:p:8159-:d:1480725
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eugenia Kalnay & Ming Cai, 2003. "Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 423(6939), pages 528-531, May.
    2. Balmann, Alfons, 1997. "Farm-Based Modelling of Regional Structural Change: A Cellular Automata Approach," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 24(1), pages 85-108.
    3. Zander, P. & Kachele, H., 1999. "Modelling multiple objectives of land use for sustainable development," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 59(3), pages 311-325, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Guangzhao Wu & Yilin Lin & Junsan Zhao & Qiaoxiong Chen, 2024. "Identification of Land Use Conflict Based on Multi-Scenario Simulation—Taking the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration as an Example," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-21, November.

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