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Climate Change Risk and Vulnerabilities Analysis in Trieste SECAP

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  • Marco Manzan

    (Department of Engineering and Architecture, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy
    Center for Energy, Environment and Transport Giacomo Ciamician, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Giovanni Bacaro

    (Center for Energy, Environment and Transport Giacomo Ciamician, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy
    Department of Life Sciences, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Andrea Nardini

    (Center for Energy, Environment and Transport Giacomo Ciamician, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy
    Department of Life Sciences, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Giulia Casagrande

    (Center for Energy, Environment and Transport Giacomo Ciamician, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy
    Department of Mathematics and Geosciences, University of Trieste, 34128 Trieste, Italy)

  • Amedeo Pezzi

    (Department of Engineering and Architecture, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy
    Center for Energy, Environment and Transport Giacomo Ciamician, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Francesco Petruzzellis

    (Center for Energy, Environment and Transport Giacomo Ciamician, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy
    Department of Life Sciences, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Enrico Tordoni

    (Center for Energy, Environment and Transport Giacomo Ciamician, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy
    Department of Life Sciences, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Giorgio Fontolan

    (Center for Energy, Environment and Transport Giacomo Ciamician, University of Trieste, 34127 Trieste, Italy
    Department of Mathematics and Geosciences, University of Trieste, 34128 Trieste, Italy)

Abstract

Climate change is affecting more and more local communities, which are now facing different hazards; in answer to this threat, specific actions at the local level should be taken. The Covenant of Mayors (CoM) is an initiative that tries to involve municipalities and communities in developing SECAPs, i.e., plans for sustainable energy and climate with the aim to develop adaptation and mitigation measures. In order to identify and evaluate hazards, the CoM developed a template relative to the current risk level and expected changes in the future. This paper develops a methodology to fill the template using a data driven approach instead of a heuristic one. The methodology was applied to the city of Trieste in northeast Italy and uses local weather station data and projections obtained from GCM-RCM models. Data were manipulated using different approaches for current risk levels and the Mann–Kendall test is proposed as a method to identify the future evolution of hazard intensity and frequency. The results showed that the developed approach could help municipalities in developing their SECAPs and in identifying the present and future evolution of hazards.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Manzan & Giovanni Bacaro & Andrea Nardini & Giulia Casagrande & Amedeo Pezzi & Francesco Petruzzellis & Enrico Tordoni & Giorgio Fontolan, 2022. "Climate Change Risk and Vulnerabilities Analysis in Trieste SECAP," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-28, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:10:p:5973-:d:815731
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    References listed on IDEAS

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