IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i8p4126-d531833.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Political Instability Equals the Collapse of Tourism in Ukraine?

Author

Listed:
  • Natalia Tomczewska-Popowycz

    (Faculty of Natural Sciences, Institute of Socio-Economic Geography and Spatial Management, University of Silesia, ul. Będzińska 60, 41-200 Sosnowiec, Poland)

  • Łukasz Quirini-Popławski

    (Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Institute of Urban Geography, Tourism Studies and Geoinformation, University of Lodz, ul. Kopcińskiego 31, 90-142 Łódź, Poland)

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to determine how political instability influences inbound tourist flows in Ukrainian cities, performance of tourism-related businesses, and tourism-based profits in general. This study allows us to present the impact of various events on the tourism economy in Ukraine; however, the available secondary data with the unobserved component model procedure detection give only a general overview of the situation. Thus, interviews were conducted with experts, including managers of accommodation facilities, employees of municipal tourism development departments, and researchers investigating tourism. Interviews with experts revealed opportunities, threats, and future scenarios of tourism in Ukraine in the face of five years of political instability. The results support previous findings that political instability reduces tourist traffic over the short term. On the other hand, the interviews with experts representing major province cities have shown different results for the long-term perspective. Cities with developed tourism sectors in areas away from the place of conflict are beneficiaries of political instability. Disadvantaged are cities that had their tourist flows based on the citizens of the aggressor’s country—the Russian Federation. Cities that are underdeveloped in terms of tourism did not experience a significant impact of the political instability in eastern Ukraine.

Suggested Citation

  • Natalia Tomczewska-Popowycz & Łukasz Quirini-Popławski, 2021. "Political Instability Equals the Collapse of Tourism in Ukraine?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-20, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:8:p:4126-:d:531833
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/8/4126/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/8/4126/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ina Aurelia Issa & Levent Altinay, 2006. "Impacts of Political Instability on Tourism Planning and Development: The Case of Lebanon," Tourism Economics, , vol. 12(3), pages 361-381, September.
    2. Julio A. Afonso-Rodríguez & María Santana-Gallego, 2018. "Is Spain benefiting from the Arab Spring? On the impact of terrorism on a tourist competitor country," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 1371-1408, May.
    3. Eric Neumayer, 2004. "The Impact of Political Violence on Tourism," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(2), pages 259-281, April.
    4. A.I.Kosheleva(kosheleva.ai@yandex.ru), 2015. "Tourist and Recreational Complex of Crimea: Problems and Prospects of Development in the Transition Period," Journal "Region: Economics and Sociology", Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of Siberian Branch of RAS, vol. 3.
    5. Michał Roman & Arkadiusz Niedziółka & Andrzej Krasnodębski, 2020. "Respondents’ Involvement in Tourist Activities at the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-21, November.
    6. Alvarez, Maria D. & Campo, Sara, 2014. "The influence of political conflicts on country image and intention to visit: A study of Israel's image," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 70-78.
    7. Rafael Llorca-Vivero, 2008. "Terrorism And International Tourism: New Evidence," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 169-188.
    8. Corbet, Shaen & O’Connell, John F. & Efthymiou, Marina & Guiomard, Cathal & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "The impact of terrorism on European tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-17.
    9. Maja Nikšić Radić, 2018. "Terrorism as a Determinant of Attracting FDI in Tourism: Panel Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-17, December.
    10. Becken, Susanne & Carmignani, Fabrizio, 2016. "Does tourism lead to peace?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 63-79.
    11. Mehmood, Shafaqat & Ahmad, Zahid & Khan, Ather Azim, 2016. "Dynamic relationships between tourist arrivals, immigrants, and crimes in the United States," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 383-392.
    12. Causevic, Senija & Lynch, Paul, 2013. "Political (in)stability and its influence on tourism development," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 145-157.
    13. Ivanov, Stanislav & Idzhylova, Kateryna & Webster, Craig, 2016. "Impacts of the entry of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea into the Russian Federation on its tourism industry: An exploratory study," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 162-169.
    14. Cristina Elena ALBU, 2016. "Tourism And Terrorism: A Worldwide Perspective," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, March.
    15. Konstantinos Drakos & Ali M. Kutan, 2003. "Regional Effects of Terrorism on Tourism in Three Mediterranean Countries," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 47(5), pages 621-641, October.
    16. Alessandra Fermani & Maria Rita Sergi & Angelo Carrieri & Isabella Crespi & Laura Picconi & Aristide Saggino, 2020. "Sustainable Tourism and Facilities Preferences: The Sustainable Tourist Stay Scale (STSS) Validation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-14, November.
    17. Dr. Rami Muhammad Al-Dhoun & Dr. Ra’ed Masa’deh & Prof. Musa Al-Lozi, 2017. "The Impact of the September 11th and Amman Hotel Explosion Incidents: The Case on the Incoming Tourism in Jordan," Journal of Social Sciences (COES&RJ-JSS), , vol. 6(4), pages 869-885, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abdul Rauf & Ameer Muhammad Aamir Abbas & Asim Rafiq & Saifullah Shakir & Saira Abid, 2022. "The Impact of Political Instability, Food Prices, and Crime Rate on Tourism: A Way toward Sustainable Tourism in Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Irina-Teodora MANOLESCU & Mihai TALMACIU, 2021. "Resilience and adaptability of tourism in EaP region - a systematic literature review," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 13(3), pages 260-290, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Simplice A. Asongu & Joseph I. Uduji & Elda N. Okolo-Obasi, 2019. "Tourism and insecurity in the world," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 66(4), pages 453-472, December.
    2. Ahmed Muhamad Omer & Mehmet Yeşiltaş, 2020. "“Modeling the impact of wars and terrorism on tourism demand in Kurdistan region of Iraq”," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 19(3), pages 301-322, September.
    3. Asongu, Simplice & Acha-Anyi, Paul, 2019. "Global Tourism and Waves of Terror: Perspectives from Military Expenditure," MPRA Paper 101793, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Simplice A. Asongu & Joseph Nnanna & Nicholas Biekpe & Paul N. Acha-Anyi, 2018. "Contemporary Drivers of Global Tourism: Evidence from Terrorism and Peace Factors," Research Africa Network Working Papers 18/046, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    5. Stanislav Hristov Ivanov & Craig Webster & Elitza Stoilova & Daniel Slobodskoy, 2022. "Biosecurity, crisis management, automation technologies and economic performance of travel, tourism and hospitality companies – A conceptual framework," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(1), pages 3-26, February.
    6. Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou, 2019. "Peace And Tourism: A Nexus? Evidence From Developed And Developing Countries," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(02), pages 323-339, March.
    7. Webster, Craig & Yen, Chih-Lun (Alan) & Hji-Avgoustis, Sotiris, 2020. "Hotels hurting horrifically but hopeful: A case study of the Indianapolis hotel industry," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 6(3), pages 54-58.
    8. Usman Khalid & Luke Emeka Okafor & Nusrate Aziz, 2020. "Armed conflict, military expenditure and international tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(4), pages 555-577, June.
    9. Schmude Jürgen & Karl Marion & Weber Florian, 2020. "Tourism and Terrorism: Economic impact of terrorist attacks on the tourism industry. The example of the destination of Paris," ZFW – Advances in Economic Geography, De Gruyter, vol. 64(2), pages 88-102, June.
    10. Eric Neumayer & Thomas Plümper, 2016. "Spatial spill-overs from terrorism on tourism: Western victims in Islamic destination countries," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 195-206, December.
    11. Julio A. Afonso-Rodríguez & María Santana-Gallego, 2018. "Is Spain benefiting from the Arab Spring? On the impact of terrorism on a tourist competitor country," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 1371-1408, May.
    12. Ivanov, Stanislav & Idzhylova, Kateryna & Webster, Craig, 2016. "Impacts of the entry of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea into the Russian Federation on its tourism industry: An exploratory study," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 162-169.
    13. Ivanov, Stanislav Hristov & Webster, Craig & Stoilova, Elitza & Slobodskoy, Daniel, 2020. "Biosecurity, crisis management, automation technologies, and economic performance of travel, tourism and hospitality companies – a conceptual framework," SocArXiv 2hx6f, Center for Open Science.
    14. Georges Harb, 2019. "The impact of terrorism on inbound tourism: disentangling the cross-spatial correlation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 686-700.
    15. Georges Harb & Charbel Bassil, 2020. "Terrorism and inbound tourism: Does immigration have a moderating effect?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(3), pages 500-518, May.
    16. Bassil Charbel, 2014. "The Effect of Terrorism on Tourism Demand in the Middle East," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 1-16, December.
    17. Seabra, Claudia & Reis, Pedro & Abrantes, José Luís, 2020. "The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    18. Farmaki, Anna & Altinay, Levent & Botterill, David & Hilke, Sarina, 2015. "Politics and sustainable tourism: The case of Cyprus," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 178-190.
    19. Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Zeng, Yan & Lin, Zhibin, 2019. "The effectiveness of the legal system and inbound tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 24-35.
    20. Aydin, Mucahit, 2022. "The impacts of political stability, renewable energy consumption, and economic growth on tourism in Turkey: New evidence from Fourier Bootstrap ARDL approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 467-473.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:8:p:4126-:d:531833. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.