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Research on Population Development in Ethnic Minority Areas in the Context of China’s Population Strategy Adjustment

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  • Jinwei Huo

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China)

  • Xinhuan Zhang

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China)

  • Zhiping Zhang

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    The Graduate School, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Yaning Chen

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China)

Abstract

Against the background of China’s relaxation of family planning standards, this thesis analyzed the demographic trends in ethnic minority areas and their impacts on regional development under China’s adjustment of its population strategy. By setting up different fertility scenarios, the population forecasting software (PADIS-INT) was applied to forecast the population scale and structure of the Hotan region. This thesis analyzed the impacts of population growth on regional sustainable development from the perspectives of employment, economic development, and resource carrying capacity to provide references for the formulation and implementation of population and economic development policies in minority areas, to alleviate the contradiction between the human and environment. The results showed that the Hotan region would maintain a relatively fast population growth rate for a long period; by 2050, its population would skew younger when compared to China’s general statistics. However, due to the lagging economic development and the constraints to resources and the environment, unemployment would become the most severe problem hampering regional development. While developing its local economy, the Hotan region needs to better promote the interregional migration of the labor force.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinwei Huo & Xinhuan Zhang & Zhiping Zhang & Yaning Chen, 2020. "Research on Population Development in Ethnic Minority Areas in the Context of China’s Population Strategy Adjustment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-13, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:19:p:8021-:d:421025
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Li Gong & Chunling Jin, 2009. "Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation for Carrying Capacity of Regional Water Resources," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(12), pages 2505-2513, September.
    2. Ting Chang & Degang Yang & Jinwei Huo & Fuqiang Xia & Zhiping Zhang, 2018. "Evaluation of Oasis Sustainability Based on Emergy and Decomposition Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-14, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xin Yang & Yifei Sima & Yabo Lv & Mingwei Li, 2023. "Research on Influencing Factors of Residential Building Carbon Emissions and Carbon Peak: A Case of Henan Province in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-18, June.

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