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Measurement of Population Carrying Capacity based on a P–S Model: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province

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Listed:
  • Linyun Zhang

    (Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou, China)

  • Wei Li

    (Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics Dongfang College, Haining, China)

  • Dalia Streimikiene

    (Lithuanian Institute of Agrarian Economics, Vilnius, Lithuania)

Abstract

The implementation of the “second child policy” and the influx of large numbers of people have led to an increase in the population of Zhejiang Province in China, placing pressure on the environment, health care, and education. In this context, this study intends to use the possibility-satisfaction (P-S) model to predict the population carrying capacity of Zhejiang Province from 2020 to 2025. This prediction system comprises economic, social, resource, and environmental systems. The following conclusions are drawn: the maximum population carrying capacity of Zhejiang in 2025 is 62 million. According to the current population development trend, the population of Zhejiang Province in 2025 will still be within the carrying capacity range. The population carrying capacity of the social system is the weakest.

Suggested Citation

  • Linyun Zhang & Wei Li & Dalia Streimikiene, 2020. "Measurement of Population Carrying Capacity based on a P–S Model: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 22(54), pages 552-552, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:aes:amfeco:v:22:y:2020:i:54:p:552
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    population carrying capacity; index system; possibility-satisfaction model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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