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The Spatial-Temporal Characteristics of Cultivated Land and Its Influential Factors in The Low Hilly Region: A Case Study of Lishan Town, Hubei Province, China

Author

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  • Xuesong Zhang

    (Hubei Province Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation, Wuhan 430079, China
    College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Maomao Zhang

    (Hubei Province Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation, Wuhan 430079, China
    College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Ju He

    (Hubei Province Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation, Wuhan 430079, China
    College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China)

  • Quanxi Wang

    (College of Management, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China)

  • Deshou Li

    (Hubei Province Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation, Wuhan 430079, China
    College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China)

Abstract

Cultivated land is a basic resource that is related to the sustainable development of the global economy and society. Studying the spatial and temporal distribution of cultivated land and its influential factors at the township scale is an important way to improve its sustainable use. Based on the land use data in 2009 and 2015, this paper comprehensively uses kernel density estimation, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and the spatial autoregressive model to analyze the spatial distribution characteristics and influential factors of cultivated land. The results show that in 2009 and 2015, the maximum kernel density of cultivated land in Lishan Town was 31/km 2 and 38/km 2 , respectively, and there is an increasing tendency for it in the future. The global spatial autocorrelation Moran’s I of the proportion of cultivated land area in the administrative villages of Lishan Town in 2009 and 2015 was 0.5251 and 0.3970, respectively. Cultivated land has significant spatial self-positive correlation agglomeration characteristics in spatial distribution. Based on spatial error model (SEM) analysis, the regression coefficients of the village were 0.236 and 0.196 in 2009 and 2015, respectively. The regression coefficients of the road were 0.632 and 0.630, respectively. The regression coefficients of the water system were 0.481 and 0.290, respectively. The regression coefficients of the topographic position index were −0.817 and −0.672, respectively. By comparing 2015 with 2009, the regression coefficients of each influential factor have been reduced to varying degrees.

Suggested Citation

  • Xuesong Zhang & Maomao Zhang & Ju He & Quanxi Wang & Deshou Li, 2019. "The Spatial-Temporal Characteristics of Cultivated Land and Its Influential Factors in The Low Hilly Region: A Case Study of Lishan Town, Hubei Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-18, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:14:p:3810-:d:247589
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xuesong Zhang & Ju He & Zhen Deng & Jiyue Ma & Guangping Chen & Maomao Zhang & Deshou Li, 2018. "Comparative Changes of Influence Factors of Rural Residential Area Based on Spatial Econometric Regression Model: A Case Study of Lishan Township, Hubei Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-14, September.
    2. Huiran Han & Chengfeng Yang & Jinping Song, 2015. "Scenario Simulation and the Prediction of Land Use and Land Cover Change in Beijing, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-20, April.
    3. Luc Anselin, 2003. "Spatial Externalities, Spatial Multipliers, And Spatial Econometrics," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 26(2), pages 153-166, April.
    4. Kawaguchi, Daiji & Yukutake, Norifumi, 2017. "Estimating the residential land damage of the Fukushima nuclear accident," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 148-160.
    5. Xie, Hualin & Wang, Wei & Zhang, Xinmin, 2018. "Evolutionary game and simulation of management strategies of fallow cultivated land: A case study in Hunan province, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 86-97.
    6. Zhijun Feng & Wei Chen, 2018. "Environmental Regulation, Green Innovation, and Industrial Green Development: An Empirical Analysis Based on the Spatial Durbin Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, January.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Maomao Zhang & Weigang Chen & Kui Cai & Xin Gao & Xuesong Zhang & Jinxiang Liu & Zhiyuan Wang & Deshou Li, 2019. "Analysis of the Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Urban Resilience and Its Influencing Factors: A Case Study of 56 Cities in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-22, November.
    3. Xiaofu Lin & Hui Fu, 2022. "Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Driving Forces of Cultivated Land Based on the PLUS Model: A Case Study of Haikou City, 1980–2020," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-16, November.
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    6. Yanwei Wang & Wei Song, 2021. "Mapping Abandoned Cropland Changes in the Hilly and Gully Region of the Loess Plateau in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, December.

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