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Achieving Sustainable Land Use Allocation in High-Altitude Area by 2030: Insights from Circle Structure and Scenario Predictions for Production–Living–Ecological Land in Xining Marginal Area, China

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  • Zizhen Jiang

    (Key Laboratory of Earth Surface System and Human-Earth Relations, Ministry of Natural Resources of China, Shenzhen 518055, China
    College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Yuxuan Luo

    (College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Qi Wen

    (School of Architecture, Ningxia University, Yinchuan 750021, China)

  • Mingjie Shi

    (College of Resources and Environment, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China)

  • Ramamoorthy Ayyamperumal

    (College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China)

  • Meimei Wang

    (Key Laboratory of Earth Surface System and Human-Earth Relations, Ministry of Natural Resources of China, Shenzhen 518055, China
    College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China)

Abstract

The paper focused on the Xining marginal area, providing the concept of land use competitive advantage, employing the PLUS and PFCI model to simulate production–living–ecological (PLE) land in 2030, and revealing the relationship between regional land interactions and sustainable land allocation. The results indicate that the following: (1) By 2030, the land use of the Xining marginal area is primarily production and ecological land, with approximately 0.1% of living land; however, living and production land will increase while ecological land will decrease in general, and the growth momentum of urban and other living space in government-seated regions is stronger. (2) The PLE land does not exhibit a piecemeal expansion pattern, as it is influenced by mountains and rivers. Agricultural production land and grassland ecological land have advantages for development, whereas urban living land has just development potential. (3) Developing the corresponding lands in the dominant regions can result in sustainable land allocation, and five nexus approaches are proposed for the sustainable allocation of PLE land in the Xining marginal region. The study addresses the interaction of different land use types across regions rather than examining them separately, and we provide significant insight into whether the Qinghai Tibet Plateau should be urbanized.

Suggested Citation

  • Zizhen Jiang & Yuxuan Luo & Qi Wen & Mingjie Shi & Ramamoorthy Ayyamperumal & Meimei Wang, 2024. "Achieving Sustainable Land Use Allocation in High-Altitude Area by 2030: Insights from Circle Structure and Scenario Predictions for Production–Living–Ecological Land in Xining Marginal Area, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-25, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:8:p:1241-:d:1452678
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chakir, Raja & Le Gallo, Julie, 2013. "Predicting land use allocation in France: A spatial panel data analysis," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 114-125.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yu Fu & Qian Li & Julin Li & Kun Zeng & Liangsong Wang & Youhan Wang, 2024. "Multi-Scenario Simulation of the Production-Living-Ecological Spaces in Sichuan Province Based on the PLUS Model and Assessment of Its Ecological and Environmental Effects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-20, November.

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