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Species Distribution Modeling of the Breeding Site Distribution and Conservation Gaps of Lesser White-Fronted Goose in Siberia under Climate Change

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Listed:
  • Rong Fan

    (School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Center for East Asian-Australasian Flyway Studies, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Jialin Lei

    (School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Center for East Asian-Australasian Flyway Studies, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Entao Wu

    (School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Center for East Asian-Australasian Flyway Studies, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Cai Lu

    (School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Center for East Asian-Australasian Flyway Studies, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Yifei Jia

    (School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Center for East Asian-Australasian Flyway Studies, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Qing Zeng

    (School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Center for East Asian-Australasian Flyway Studies, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Guangchun Lei

    (School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Center for East Asian-Australasian Flyway Studies, Beijing 100083, China)

Abstract

Climate change has become an important cause of the loss of bird habitat and changes in bird migration and reproduction. The lesser white-fronted goose ( Anser erythropus ) has a wide range of migratory habits and is listed as vulnerable on the IUCN (International Union for Conservation of Nature) Red List. In this study, the distribution of suitable breeding grounds for the lesser white-fronted goose was assessed in Siberia, Russia, using a combination of satellite tracking and climate change data. The characteristics of the distribution of suitable breeding sites under different climate scenarios in the future were predicted using the Maxent model, and protection gaps were assessed. The analysis showed that under the background of future climate change, temperature and precipitation will be the main climatic factors affecting the distribution of breeding grounds, and the area associated with suitable breeding habitats will present a decreasing trend. Areas listed as an optimal habitat only accounted for 3.22% of the protected distribution; however, 1,029,386.341 km 2 of optimal habitat was observed outside the protected area. Obtaining species distribution data is important for developing habitat protection in remote areas. The results presented here can provide a basis for developing species-specific habitat management strategies and indicate that additional attention should be focused on protecting open spaces.

Suggested Citation

  • Rong Fan & Jialin Lei & Entao Wu & Cai Lu & Yifei Jia & Qing Zeng & Guangchun Lei, 2022. "Species Distribution Modeling of the Breeding Site Distribution and Conservation Gaps of Lesser White-Fronted Goose in Siberia under Climate Change," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-21, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:11:y:2022:i:11:p:1946-:d:959435
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Junichi Fujino, Rajesh Nair, Mikiko Kainuma, Toshihiko Masui and Yuzuru Matsuoka, 2006. "Multi-gas Mitigation Analysis on Stabilization Scenarios Using Aim Global Model," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I), pages 343-354.
    2. Chris D. Thomas & Jack J. Lennon, 1999. "Birds extend their ranges northwards," Nature, Nature, vol. 399(6733), pages 213-213, May.
    3. Camille Parmesan & Gary Yohe, 2003. "A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems," Nature, Nature, vol. 421(6918), pages 37-42, January.
    4. Li, Xueyan & Si, Yali & Ji, Luyan & Gong, Peng, 2017. "Dynamic response of East Asian Greater White-fronted Geese to changes of environment during migration: Use of multi-temporal species distribution model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 360(C), pages 70-79.
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