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Assessing the Impact of Urban Expansion on Surrounding Forested Landscape Connectivity across Space and Time

Author

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  • Zhouqiao Ren

    (Institute of Digital Agriculture, Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Hangzhou 310021, China)

  • Jianhua He

    (School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China)

  • Qiaobing Yue

    (School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China)

Abstract

Landscape connectivity is important for all organisms as it directly affects population dynamics. Yet, rapid urbanization has caused serious landscape fragmentation, which is the primary contributor of species extinctions worldwide. Previous studies have mostly used spatial snap-shots to evaluate the impact of urban expansion on landscape connectivity. However, the interactions among habitats over time in dynamic landscapes have been largely ignored. Here, we demonstrated that overlooking temporal connectivity can lead to the overestimation of the impact of urban expansion. How much greater the overestimation is depends on the amount of net habitat loss. Moreover, we showed that landscape connectivity may have a delayed response to urban expansion. Our analysis shifts the way to understand the ecological consequences of urban expansion. Our framework can guide sustainable urban development and can be inspiring to conservation practices under other contexts (e.g., climate change).

Suggested Citation

  • Zhouqiao Ren & Jianhua He & Qiaobing Yue, 2021. "Assessing the Impact of Urban Expansion on Surrounding Forested Landscape Connectivity across Space and Time," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-14, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:10:y:2021:i:4:p:359-:d:527894
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. van Vliet, Jasper & Bregt, Arnold K. & Hagen-Zanker, Alex, 2011. "Revisiting Kappa to account for change in the accuracy assessment of land-use change models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(8), pages 1367-1375.
    2. Ilkka Hanski & Otso Ovaskainen, 2000. "The metapopulation capacity of a fragmented landscape," Nature, Nature, vol. 404(6779), pages 755-758, April.
    3. Xia Li & Guangzhao Chen & Xiaoping Liu & Xun Liang & Shaojian Wang & Yimin Chen & Fengsong Pei & Xiaocong Xu, 2017. "A New Global Land-Use and Land-Cover Change Product at a 1-km Resolution for 2010 to 2100 Based on Human–Environment Interactions," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(5), pages 1040-1059, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hui Sun & Chunhui Liu & Jiaxing Wei, 2021. "Identifying Key Sites of Green Infrastructure to Support Ecological Restoration in the Urban Agglomeration," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-13, November.

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