IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v16y2023i8p3416-d1122534.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Energy System Low-Carbon Transition under Dual-Carbon Goals: The Case of Guangxi, China Using the EnergyPLAN Tool

Author

Listed:
  • Yao Li

    (College of Electrical Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China)

  • Liulin Yang

    (College of Electrical Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China)

  • Tianlu Luo

    (Guangxi Power Grid Co., Ltd., Nanning 530023, China)

Abstract

Guangxi is a typical developing region on the southern coast of China. The current issues encountered in the region’s development are that fossil energy accounts for about 80% of the energy structure, fossil fuels are heavily dependent on imports, and the self-sufficiency rate of resources is only 32%. These challenges have created a disparity between the current regional development state and the country’s dual carbon target. Under the premise of comprehensively considering the multi-sectors of electricity, industry, transportation, and heating, this paper presents a study on the energy system transition towards low-carbon development for Guangxi in four steps. Firstly, to demonstrate EnergyPLAN’s capability in energy modeling, a reference scenario for Guangxi is created using official yearbook data from 2020. Then, a short-term scenario is formulated to analyze the development of Guangxi’s energy system during the 14th Five-Year Plan. Furthermore, two mid-term scenarios are established, revealing that Guangxi is anticipated to reach its carbon emission peak between 2025 and 2030. Finally, three long-term scenarios are proposed for Guangxi’s energy system for 2050. These scenarios encompass the expansion of photovoltaics, nuclear, and wind power in the electricity system and emission reduction policies in the industrial, transportation, and heating sectors. As a result, compared with the 2020REF scenario, Guangxi can achieve a carbon emission reduction exceeding 57% and the share of non-fossil energy consumption can reach about 70% in the 2050 scenarios, despite a substantial increase in energy consumption, which makes it possible to achieve carbon neutrality in 2060 and to establish an energy system with less than 20% of fossil energy consumption.

Suggested Citation

  • Yao Li & Liulin Yang & Tianlu Luo, 2023. "Energy System Low-Carbon Transition under Dual-Carbon Goals: The Case of Guangxi, China Using the EnergyPLAN Tool," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-16, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:8:p:3416-:d:1122534
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/8/3416/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/8/3416/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Okonkwo, Eric C. & Wole-Osho, Ifeoluwa & Bamisile, Olusola & Abid, Muhammad & Al-Ansari, Tareq, 2021. "Grid integration of renewable energy in Qatar: Potentials and limitations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    2. Connolly, D. & Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2016. "Smart Energy Europe: The technical and economic impact of one potential 100% renewable energy scenario for the European Union," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1634-1653.
    3. Damian Hasterok & Rui Castro & Marcin Landrat & Krzysztof Pikoń & Markus Doepfert & Hugo Morais, 2021. "Polish Energy Transition 2040: Energy Mix Optimization Using Grey Wolf Optimizer," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-27, January.
    4. Bartolini, Andrea & Comodi, Gabriele & Salvi, Danilo & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2020. "Renewables self-consumption potential in districts with high penetration of electric vehicles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    5. Shaima A. Alnaqbi & Shamma Alasad & Haya Aljaghoub & Abdul Hai Alami & Mohammad Ali Abdelkareem & Abdul Ghani Olabi, 2022. "Applicability of Hydropower Generation and Pumped Hydro Energy Storage in the Middle East and North Africa," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-27, March.
    6. Edoo, M.N. & Ah King, Robert T.F., 2020. "New insights into the technical challenges of the Mauritius long term energy strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    7. Connolly, D. & Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V. & Leahy, M., 2010. "A review of computer tools for analysing the integration of renewable energy into various energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(4), pages 1059-1082, April.
    8. Hansen, Kenneth & Mathiesen, Brian Vad & Skov, Iva Ridjan, 2019. "Full energy system transition towards 100% renewable energy in Germany in 2050," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 1-13.
    9. Laha, Priyanka & Chakraborty, Basab, 2021. "Low carbon electricity system for India in 2030 based on multi-objective multi-criteria assessment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    10. Andrea Herbst & Felipe Andrés Toro & Felix Reitze & Eberhard Jochem, 2012. "Introduction to Energy Systems Modelling," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 148(II), pages 111-135, June.
    11. Carl-Friedrich Schleussner & Joeri Rogelj & Michiel Schaeffer & Tabea Lissner & Rachel Licker & Erich M. Fischer & Reto Knutti & Anders Levermann & Katja Frieler & William Hare, 2016. "Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(9), pages 827-835, September.
    12. Yuan, Meng & Thellufsen, Jakob Zinck & Lund, Henrik & Liang, Yongtu, 2021. "The electrification of transportation in energy transition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    13. Yuan, Meng & Sorknæs, Peter & Lund, Henrik & Liang, Yongtu, 2022. "The bidding strategies of large-scale battery storage in 100% renewable smart energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    14. Zhou, Wenji & Hagos, Dejene Assefa & Stikbakke, Sverre & Huang, Lizhen & Cheng, Xu & Onstein, Erling, 2022. "Assessment of the impacts of different policy instruments on achieving the deep decarbonization targets of island energy systems in Norway – The case of Hinnøya," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    15. Arévalo, Paúl & Cano, Antonio & Jurado, Francisco, 2022. "Mitigation of carbon footprint with 100% renewable energy system by 2050: The case of Galapagos islands," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    16. Zhao, Guangling & Guerrero, Josep M. & Jiang, Kejun & Chen, Sha, 2017. "Energy modelling towards low carbon development of Beijing in 2030," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 107-113.
    17. Chen, Min & Lund, Henrik & Rosendahl, Lasse A. & Condra, Thomas J., 2010. "Energy efficiency analysis and impact evaluation of the application of thermoelectric power cycle to today's CHP systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(4), pages 1231-1238, April.
    18. Lund, Henrik & Duić, Neven & Krajac˘ić, Goran & Graça Carvalho, Maria da, 2007. "Two energy system analysis models: A comparison of methodologies and results," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 948-954.
    19. Connolly, D. & Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V. & Leahy, M., 2011. "The first step towards a 100% renewable energy-system for Ireland," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 502-507, February.
    20. Hong, Jingke & Gu, Jianping & He, Rongxiao & Wang, Xianzhu & Shen, Qiping, 2020. "Unfolding the spatial spillover effects of urbanization on interregional energy connectivity: Evidence from province-level data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    21. Icaza, Daniel & Borge-Diez, David & Galindo, Santiago Pulla, 2021. "Proposal of 100% renewable energy production for the City of Cuenca- Ecuador by 2050," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1324-1341.
    22. Li, Kai & Tan, Xiujie & Yan, Yaxue & Jiang, Dalin & Qi, Shaozhou, 2022. "Directing energy transition toward decarbonization: The China story," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    23. Cabrera, Pedro & Lund, Henrik & Carta, José A., 2018. "Smart renewable energy penetration strategies on islands: The case of Gran Canaria," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 421-443.
    24. Bamisile, Olusola & Huang, Qi & Xu, Xiao & Hu, Weihao & Liu, Wen & Liu, Zhou & Chen, Zhe, 2020. "An approach for sustainable energy planning towards 100 % electrification of Nigeria by 2030," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    25. Vaccaro, Roberto & Rocco, Matteo V., 2021. "Quantifying the impact of low carbon transition scenarios at regional level through soft-linked energy and economy models: The case of South-Tyrol Province in Italy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    26. Alves, M. & Segurado, R. & Costa, M., 2020. "On the road to 100% renewable energy systems in isolated islands," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    27. Korberg, Andrei David & Skov, Iva Ridjan & Mathiesen, Brian Vad, 2020. "The role of biogas and biogas-derived fuels in a 100% renewable energy system in Denmark," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    28. Novosel, T. & Ćosić, B. & Krajačić, G. & Duić, N. & Pukšec, T. & Mohsen, M.S. & Ashhab, M.S. & Ababneh, A.K., 2014. "The influence of reverse osmosis desalination in a combination with pump storage on the penetration of wind and PV energy: A case study for Jordan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 73-81.
    29. Hannah Mareike Marczinkowski & Luísa Barros, 2020. "Technical Approaches and Institutional Alignment to 100% Renewable Energy System Transition of Madeira Island—Electrification, Smart Energy and the Required Flexible Market Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-22, August.
    30. Ćosić, Boris & Krajačić, Goran & Duić, Neven, 2012. "A 100% renewable energy system in the year 2050: The case of Macedonia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 80-87.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yinchen Wang & Zhongyang Luo & Chunjiang Yu & Sheng Wang & Xiaohuan Wang & Peiliang Zhu, 2024. "Improving the Methodology for Determining the Biomass/Coal Co-Combustion Ratio: Predictive Modeling of the 14 C Activity of Pure Biomass," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-23, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    2. Hansen, Kenneth & Breyer, Christian & Lund, Henrik, 2019. "Status and perspectives on 100% renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 471-480.
    3. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Groppi, Daniele & Nastasi, Benedetto & Garcia, Davide Astiaso, 2021. "Bottom-up energy system models applied to sustainable islands," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    4. Chang, Miguel & Lund, Henrik & Thellufsen, Jakob Zinck & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2023. "Perspectives on purpose-driven coupling of energy system models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    5. Sorknæs, Peter & Thellufsen, Jakob Zinck & Knobloch, Kai & Engelbrecht, Kurt & Yuan, Meng, 2023. "Economic potentials of carnot batteries in 100% renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    6. Henning Meschede & Paul Bertheau & Siavash Khalili & Christian Breyer, 2022. "A review of 100% renewable energy scenarios on islands," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(6), November.
    7. Lopez, Gabriel & Aghahosseini, Arman & Child, Michael & Khalili, Siavash & Fasihi, Mahdi & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Breyer, Christian, 2022. "Impacts of model structure, framework, and flexibility on perspectives of 100% renewable energy transition decision-making," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    8. Borasio, M. & Moret, S., 2022. "Deep decarbonisation of regional energy systems: A novel modelling approach and its application to the Italian energy transition," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    9. Lund, Henrik & Thellufsen, Jakob Zinck & Sorknæs, Peter & Mathiesen, Brian Vad & Chang, Miguel & Madsen, Poul Thøis & Kany, Mikkel Strunge & Skov, Iva Ridjan, 2022. "Smart energy Denmark. A consistent and detailed strategy for a fully decarbonized society," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    10. Wang, Xiaokui & Bamisile, Olusola & Chen, Shuheng & Xu, Xiao & Luo, Shihua & Huang, Qi & Hu, Weihao, 2022. "Decarbonization of China's electricity systems with hydropower penetration and pumped-hydro storage: Comparing the policies with a techno-economic analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 65-83.
    11. Muhammad Faizan Tahir & Haoyong Chen & Muhammad Sufyan Javed & Irfan Jameel & Asad Khan & Saifullah Adnan, 2019. "Integration of Different Individual Heating Scenarios and Energy Storages into Hybrid Energy System Model of China for 2030," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-20, May.
    12. Prasad, Ravita D. & Bansal, R.C. & Raturi, Atul, 2014. "Multi-faceted energy planning: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 686-699.
    13. Cabrera, Pedro & Lund, Henrik & Carta, José A., 2018. "Smart renewable energy penetration strategies on islands: The case of Gran Canaria," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 421-443.
    14. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Fanali, Lorenzo & Manzolini, Giampaolo & Moser, David & Sparber, Wolfram, 2018. "Incorporating combined cycle gas turbine flexibility constraints and additional costs into the EPLANopt model: The Italian case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 33-43.
    15. Hagos, Dejene Assefa & Gebremedhin, Alemayehu & Zethraeus, Björn, 2014. "Towards a flexible energy system – A case study for Inland Norway," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 41-50.
    16. Bačeković, Ivan & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2018. "A smart energy system approach vs a non-integrated renewable energy system approach to designing a future energy system in Zagreb," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 824-837.
    17. Alves, M. & Segurado, R. & Costa, M., 2020. "On the road to 100% renewable energy systems in isolated islands," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    18. Maeder, Mattia & Weiss, Olga & Boulouchos, Konstantinos, 2021. "Assessing the need for flexibility technologies in decarbonized power systems: A new model applied to Central Europe," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
    19. Maruf, Md. Nasimul Islam, 2021. "Open model-based analysis of a 100% renewable and sector-coupled energy system–The case of Germany in 2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    20. Matteo Giacomo Prina & Giampaolo Manzolini & David Moser & Roberto Vaccaro & Wolfram Sparber, 2020. "Multi-Objective Optimization Model EPLANopt for Energy Transition Analysis and Comparison with Climate-Change Scenarios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-22, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:8:p:3416-:d:1122534. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.