IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v16y2023i14p5240-d1189495.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prediction of the Remaining Useful Life of Supercapacitors at Different Temperatures Based on Improved Long Short-Term Memory

Author

Listed:
  • Ning Ma

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Weihai Innovation Research Institute, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266000, China
    College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266000, China)

  • Huaixian Yin

    (College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266000, China)

  • Kai Wang

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Weihai Innovation Research Institute, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266000, China)

Abstract

As a novel type of energy storage element, supercapacitors have been extensively used in power systems, transportation and industry due to their high power density, long cycle life and good low-temperature performance. The health status of supercapacitors is of vital importance to the safe operation of the entire energy storage system. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the remaining useful life (RUL) of supercapacitors, this paper proposes a method based on the Harris hawks optimization (HHO) algorithm and long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks (RNNs). The HHO algorithm has the advantages of a wide global search range and a high convergence speed. Therefore, the HHO algorithm is used to optimize the initial learning rate of LSTM RNNs and the number of hidden-layer units, so as to improve the stability and reliability of the system. The root mean square error (RMSE) between the predicted result and the observed result reduced to 0.0207, 0.026 and 0.0341. The prediction results show that the HHO-LSTM has higher accuracy and robustness than traditional LSTM and GRU (gate recurrent unit) models.

Suggested Citation

  • Ning Ma & Huaixian Yin & Kai Wang, 2023. "Prediction of the Remaining Useful Life of Supercapacitors at Different Temperatures Based on Improved Long Short-Term Memory," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-14, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:14:p:5240-:d:1189495
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/14/5240/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/14/5240/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhenhua Cui & Jiyong Dai & Jianrui Sun & Dezhi Li & Licheng Wang & Kai Wang & A. M. Bastos Pereira, 2022. "Hybrid Methods Using Neural Network and Kalman Filter for the State of Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-11, May.
    2. Haris, Muhammad & Hasan, Muhammad Noman & Qin, Shiyin, 2021. "Early and robust remaining useful life prediction of supercapacitors using BOHB optimized Deep Belief Network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    3. Kai Wang & Liwei Li & Huaixian Yin & Tiezhu Zhang & Wubo Wan, 2015. "Thermal Modelling Analysis of Spiral Wound Supercapacitor under Constant-Current Cycling," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(10), pages 1-11, October.
    4. Zhenxiao Yi & Kun Zhao & Jianrui Sun & Licheng Wang & Kai Wang & Yongzhi Ma & Ali Ahmadian, 2022. "Prediction of the Remaining Useful Life of Supercapacitors," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-8, May.
    5. Wang, Chenxu & Xiong, Rui & Tian, Jinpeng & Lu, Jiahuan & Zhang, Chengming, 2022. "Rapid ultracapacitor life prediction with a convolutional neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    6. Xiaojia Wang & Ting Huang & Keyu Zhu & Xibin Zhao, 2022. "LSTM-Based Broad Learning System for Remaining Useful Life Prediction," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-13, June.
    7. Ming Zhang & Kai Wang & Yan-ting Zhou, 2020. "Online State of Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Cells Using Particle Filter-Based Hybrid Filtering Approach," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-10, January.
    8. Mustafa Ergin Şahin & Frede Blaabjerg & Ariya Sangwongwanich, 2022. "A Comprehensive Review on Supercapacitor Applications and Developments," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-26, January.
    9. Liu, Shuai & Wei, Li & Wang, Huai, 2020. "Review on reliability of supercapacitors in energy storage applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    10. Ming Zhang & Yanshuo Liu & Dezhi Li & Xiaoli Cui & Licheng Wang & Liwei Li & Kai Wang, 2023. "Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy: A New Chapter in the Fast and Accurate Estimation of the State of Health for Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-16, February.
    11. Liu, Chunli & Li, Qiang & Wang, Kai, 2021. "State-of-charge estimation and remaining useful life prediction of supercapacitors," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    12. Ye Lu & Longlong Jiang & Yang Yu & Dehua Wang & Wentao Sun & Yang Liu & Jing Yu & Jun Zhang & Kai Wang & Han Hu & Xiao Wang & Qingming Ma & Xiaoxiong Wang, 2022. "Liquid-liquid triboelectric nanogenerator based on the immiscible interface of an aqueous two-phase system," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jiho Ju & Dongho Choi & June-Seok Lee, 2023. "A Study on the Distributed-Control Architecture of a DSP-Based Solid-State Transformer System with Implementation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-18, August.
    2. Ping Ma & Shuhui Cui & Mingshuai Chen & Shengzhe Zhou & Kai Wang, 2023. "Review of Family-Level Short-Term Load Forecasting and Its Application in Household Energy Management System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-17, August.
    3. Bingqiang Li & Saleem Riaz & Yiyun Zhao, 2023. "Experimental Validation of Iterative Learning Control for DC/DC Power Converters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-16, September.
    4. Sue Wang & Yuxin Xie, 2023. "Virtual Synchronous Generator (VSG) Control Strategy Based on Improved Damping and Angular Frequency Deviation Feedforward," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-14, July.
    5. Vasyl Mateichyk & Nataliia Kostian & Miroslaw Smieszek & Igor Gritsuk & Valerii Verbovskyi, 2023. "Review of Methods for Evaluating the Energy Efficiency of Vehicles with Conventional and Alternative Power Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-25, August.
    6. Gang Zhou & Jianxun Shi & Bingjing Chen & Zhongyi Qi & Licheng Wang, 2023. "Risk Assessment of Power Supply Security Considering Optimal Load Shedding in Extreme Precipitation Scenarios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-17, September.
    7. Paweł Ruchała & Olga Orynycz & Wit Stryczniewicz & Karol Tucki, 2023. "Possibility of Energy Recovery from Airflow around an SUV-Class Car Based on Wind Tunnel Testing," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-16, October.
    8. Julan Chen & Guangheng Qi & Kai Wang, 2023. "Synergizing Machine Learning and the Aviation Sector in Lithium-Ion Battery Applications: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-22, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xinwei Sun & Yang Zhang & Yongcheng Zhang & Licheng Wang & Kai Wang, 2023. "Summary of Health-State Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-19, July.
    2. Dezhi Li & Dongfang Yang & Liwei Li & Licheng Wang & Kai Wang, 2022. "Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy Based on the State of Health Estimation for Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-26, September.
    3. Cui, Zhenhua & Kang, Le & Li, Liwei & Wang, Licheng & Wang, Kai, 2022. "A combined state-of-charge estimation method for lithium-ion battery using an improved BGRU network and UKF," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    4. Julan Chen & Guangheng Qi & Kai Wang, 2023. "Synergizing Machine Learning and the Aviation Sector in Lithium-Ion Battery Applications: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-22, August.
    5. Cui, Zhenhua & Kang, Le & Li, Liwei & Wang, Licheng & Wang, Kai, 2022. "A hybrid neural network model with improved input for state of charge estimation of lithium-ion battery at low temperatures," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 1328-1340.
    6. Shengyang Lu & Yu Zhu & Lihu Dong & Guangyu Na & Yan Hao & Guanfeng Zhang & Wuyang Zhang & Shanshan Cheng & Junyou Yang & Yuqiu Sui, 2022. "Small-Signal Stability Research of Grid-Connected Virtual Synchronous Generators," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-17, September.
    7. Naseri, F. & Karimi, S. & Farjah, E. & Schaltz, E., 2022. "Supercapacitor management system: A comprehensive review of modeling, estimation, balancing, and protection techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    8. Li, Dezhi & Li, Shuo & Zhang, Shubo & Sun, Jianrui & Wang, Licheng & Wang, Kai, 2022. "Aging state prediction for supercapacitors based on heuristic kalman filter optimization extreme learning machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    9. Kai Wang & Wanli Wang & Licheng Wang & Liwei Li, 2020. "An Improved SOC Control Strategy for Electric Vehicle Hybrid Energy Storage Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-13, October.
    10. Shuhui Cui & Saleem Riaz & Kai Wang, 2023. "Study on Lifetime Decline Prediction of Lithium-Ion Capacitors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-17, November.
    11. Ming Zhang & Yanshuo Liu & Dezhi Li & Xiaoli Cui & Licheng Wang & Liwei Li & Kai Wang, 2023. "Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy: A New Chapter in the Fast and Accurate Estimation of the State of Health for Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-16, February.
    12. Ming Zhang & Dongfang Yang & Jiaxuan Du & Hanlei Sun & Liwei Li & Licheng Wang & Kai Wang, 2023. "A Review of SOH Prediction of Li-Ion Batteries Based on Data-Driven Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-28, March.
    13. Ghosh, Sourav & Yadav, Sarita & Devi, Ambika & Thomas, Tiju, 2022. "Techno-economic understanding of Indian energy-storage market: A perspective on green materials-based supercapacitor technologies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    14. Shen, Boyang & Chen, Yu & Li, Chuanyue & Wang, Sheng & Chen, Xiaoyuan, 2021. "Superconducting fault current limiter (SFCL): Experiment and the simulation from finite-element method (FEM) to power/energy system software," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    15. Haris, Muhammad & Hasan, Muhammad Noman & Qin, Shiyin, 2021. "Early and robust remaining useful life prediction of supercapacitors using BOHB optimized Deep Belief Network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    16. Chen, Zheng & Zhao, Hongqian & Shu, Xing & Zhang, Yuanjian & Shen, Jiangwei & Liu, Yonggang, 2021. "Synthetic state of charge estimation for lithium-ion batteries based on long short-term memory network modeling and adaptive H-Infinity filter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    17. Zizhen Cheng & Li Wang & Yumeng Yang, 2023. "A Hybrid Feature Pyramid CNN-LSTM Model with Seasonal Inflection Month Correction for Medium- and Long-Term Power Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-18, March.
    18. Bingxiang Sun & Xianjie Qi & Donglin Song & Haijun Ruan, 2023. "Review of Low-Temperature Performance, Modeling and Heating for Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-37, October.
    19. Chongrui Zhang & Xufei Liu & Jiang Gong & Qiang Zhao, 2023. "Liquid sculpture and curing of bio-inspired polyelectrolyte aqueous two-phase systems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    20. Saheli Biswas & Shambhu Singh Rathore & Aniruddha Pramod Kulkarni & Sarbjit Giddey & Sankar Bhattacharya, 2021. "A Theoretical Study on Reversible Solid Oxide Cells as Key Enablers of Cyclic Conversion between Electrical Energy and Fuel," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-18, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:14:p:5240-:d:1189495. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.