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A Wind Power Forecasting Model Using LSTM Optimized by the Modified Bald Eagle Search Algorithm

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  • Wumaier Tuerxun

    (College of Water Conservancy and Hydro-Power Engineering, HoHai University, Nanjing 210098, China
    College of Hydraulic and Civil Engineering, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China
    Postal address: No. 1 Xikang Road, Nanjing 210098, China.)

  • Chang Xu

    (College of Energy and Electrical Engineering, HoHai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

  • Hongyu Guo

    (College of Energy and Electrical Engineering, HoHai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

  • Lei Guo

    (College of Water Conservancy and Hydro-Power Engineering, HoHai University, Nanjing 210098, China
    Institute of Technology, College of Mechanical Engineering Nanchang, Nanchang 330099, China)

  • Namei Zeng

    (Clean Energy Branch of Huaneng International Power Jiangsu Energy Development Co., Nanjing 210098, China)

  • Yansong Gao

    (College of Energy and Electrical Engineering, HoHai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

Abstract

High-precision forecasting of short-term wind power (WP) is integral for wind farms, the safe dispatch of power systems, and the stable operation of the power grid. Currently, the data related to the operation and maintenance of wind farms mainly comes from the Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) systems, with certain information about the operating characteristics of wind turbines being readable in the SCADA data. In short-term WP forecasting, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is a commonly used in-depth learning method. In the present study, an optimized LSTM based on the modified bald eagle search (MBES) algorithm was established to construct an MBES-LSTM model, a short-term WP forecasting model to make predictions, so as to address the problem that the selection of LSTM hyperparameters may affect the forecasting results. After preprocessing the WP data acquired by SCADA, the MBES-LSTM model was used to forecast the WP. The experimental results reveal that, compared with the PSO-RBF, PSO-SVM, LSTM, PSO-LSTM, and BES-LSTM forecasting models, the MBES-LSTM model could effectively improve the accuracy of WP forecasting for wind farms.

Suggested Citation

  • Wumaier Tuerxun & Chang Xu & Hongyu Guo & Lei Guo & Namei Zeng & Yansong Gao, 2022. "A Wind Power Forecasting Model Using LSTM Optimized by the Modified Bald Eagle Search Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-19, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:6:p:2031-:d:768337
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Feifei Xue & Heping Duan & Chang Xu & Xingxing Han & Yanqing Shangguan & Tongtong Li & Zhefei Fen, 2022. "Research on the Power Capture and Wake Characteristics of a Wind Turbine Based on a Modified Actuator Line Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-20, January.
    2. Gu, Bo & Zhang, Tianren & Meng, Hang & Zhang, Jinhua, 2021. "Short-term forecasting and uncertainty analysis of wind power based on long short-term memory, cloud model and non-parametric kernel density estimation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 687-708.
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    4. Mathieu Pichault & Claire Vincent & Grant Skidmore & Jason Monty, 2021. "Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting at the Wind Farm Scale Using Long-Range Doppler LiDAR," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-21, May.
    5. Chengcheng Gu & Hua Li, 2022. "Review on Deep Learning Research and Applications in Wind and Wave Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-19, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jian Zhu & Zhiyuan Zhao & Xiaoran Zheng & Zhao An & Qingwu Guo & Zhikai Li & Jianling Sun & Yuanjun Guo, 2023. "Time-Series Power Forecasting for Wind and Solar Energy Based on the SL-Transformer," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-15, November.

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