IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecomi/v13y2025i5p131-d1654802.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Labour Market in Kazakhstan Under Conditions of Active Transformation of Their Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Ansagan Beisembina

    (Department of Economics, Toraighyrov University, Lomov, 64, Pavlodar 140008, Kazakhstan)

  • George Abuselidze

    (Department of Finance, Banking and Insurance, Batumi Shota Rustaveli State University, Ninoshvili, 35, Batumi 6010, Georgia
    School of Business and Administrative Studies, The University of Georgia, Kostava, 77a, Tbilisi 0171, Georgia)

  • Begzat Nurmaganbetova

    (Department of Finance, Accounting and Auditing, Korkut Ata Kyzylorda University, A. Herzen, 26, Kyzylorda 120012, Kazakhstan)

  • Gulnur Kabakova

    (Department of Economics and Management, Korkut Ata Kyzylorda University, A. Herzen, 26, Kyzylorda 120012, Kazakhstan)

  • Aigul Makenova

    (Department of Finance, Accounting and Auditing, Korkut Ata Kyzylorda University, A. Herzen, 26, Kyzylorda 120012, Kazakhstan)

  • Ainash Nurgaliyeva

    (Department of Economics, Toraighyrov University, Lomov, 64, Pavlodar 140008, Kazakhstan)

Abstract

Continuous transformations, which have been observed more and more in recent years, require an increase in the effectiveness of measures in the state regulation of the labour market, which is possible only with a clear understanding and realistic assessment of its condition and existing trends of changes. For this purpose, guided by the data of the Bureau of National Statistics of the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the country’s labour market was monitored, and the key factors that played a significant role in its formation were identified. Using these factors as a basis, vector autoregression (VAR) models were built to analyse dynamic relationships between economic variables. The choice of stationary variables ensured the adequacy of the model, which was confirmed by diagnostic tests such as the ADF test, Jarque–Bera test, and Ljung–Box test. Impulse response functions (IRFs) were used to assess the effect of shocks on each variable and other system variables. All results were visualised as graphs illustrating the dynamics of the impact over ten times. The modelling results showed that the changes are interrelated: shocks to youth unemployment (YUR) have the most significant impact on the total unemployment (UR) and the unemployed population (U), while outward migration (NM) has a short-run effect mainly on the economically active population (EA). The model confirmed that the labour market is indifferent to changes in youth unemployment, a key indicator for forming an effective employment policy. The study’s practical significance lies in its potential to inform the government, international organisations, and business communities about the state of the labour market and the necessary vectors of social policy. This will ensure economic growth and improve citizens’ quality of life in light of the changing nature of the labour market.

Suggested Citation

  • Ansagan Beisembina & George Abuselidze & Begzat Nurmaganbetova & Gulnur Kabakova & Aigul Makenova & Ainash Nurgaliyeva, 2025. "The Labour Market in Kazakhstan Under Conditions of Active Transformation of Their Economy," Economies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-27, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:13:y:2025:i:5:p:131-:d:1654802
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/13/5/131/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/13/5/131/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pranab Bardhan & Dilip Mookherjee (ed.), 2006. "Decentralization and Local Governance in Developing Countries: A Comparative Perspective," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262524546, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Raquel Bernal & Adriana Camacho & Carmen Elisa Flórez & Alejandro Gaviria, 2009. "Desarrollo económico: retos y políticas públicas," Documentos CEDE 5269, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    2. Auriol, Emmanuelle & Dahmani-Scuitti, Anaïs, 2025. "Decentralization in Autocraties," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    3. Arvate, Paulo Roberto & Figueiredo, Dalila, 2016. "Another argument against negotiated grants: how the bill for local corruption is distributed," Textos para discussão 432, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    4. Seregious Be-ere, 2022. "Decentralization Reforms in Developing Countries Designed to Champion the Interests of Central Politicians and not Grassroots Development," Journal of Developing Societies, , vol. 38(1), pages 27-49, March.
    5. Amit Bhaduri, 2018. "A macroeconomic perspective on Asian development," WIDER Working Paper Series 91, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. Marco Percoco & Michele Giove, 2009. "Multilevel Governance at Work: Evidence from Structural Funds Management in Lombardia, Italy," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 27(3), pages 381-398, June.
    7. Yu, Jihai & Zhou, Li-An & Zhu, Guozhong, 2016. "Strategic interaction in political competition: Evidence from spatial effects across Chinese cities," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 23-37.
    8. Norman V. Loayza & Jamele Rigolini & Oscar Calvo-González, 2014. "More Than You Can Handle: Decentralization and Spending Ability of Peruvian Municipalities," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 56-78, March.
    9. An, Heng & Chen, Yanyan & Luo, Danglun & Zhang, Ting, 2016. "Political uncertainty and corporate investment: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 174-189.
    10. Westphal, Nico, 2011. "Political Decentralisation and Local Economic Development: Findings on the pro-poor responsiveness in 5 Cambodian communes," IEE Working Papers 193, Ruhr University Bochum, Institute of Development Research and Development Policy (IEE).
    11. Pal, Sarmistha & Wahhaj, Zaki, 2017. "Fiscal decentralisation, local institutions and public good provision: evidence from Indonesia," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 383-409.
    12. Richard M. Bird, 2011. "Subnational Taxation In Developing Countries: A Review Of The Literature," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(01), pages 139-161.
    13. Armand, Alex & Coutts, Alexander & Vicente, Pedro C. & Vilela, Inês, 2023. "Measuring corruption in the field using behavioral games," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    14. Yang Yu & Desmond Appiah & Bernard Zulu & Kofi Asamoah Adu-Poku, 2024. "Integrating Rural Development, Education, and Management: Challenges and Strategies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-22, July.
    15. Muhammad Ahsan Rana, 2017. "Business as Usual: District Education Authorities in Punjab," Asian Journal of Management Cases, , vol. 14(2), pages 176-197, September.
    16. Loayza, Norman & Rigolini, Jamele, 2016. "The Local Impact of Mining on Poverty and Inequality: Evidence from the Commodity Boom in Peru," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 219-234.
    17. Joseph J. Capuno & Stella A. Quimbo & Aleli D. Kraft & Carlos Antonio R. Tan, Jr. & Vigile Marie B. Fabella, 2012. "Perks and public provisions : Effects of yardstick competition on local government fiscal behavior in the Philippines," UP School of Economics Discussion Papers 201208, University of the Philippines School of Economics.
    18. Röell, Christiaan & Osabutey, Ellis & Rodgers, Peter & Arndt, Felix & Khan, Zaheer & Tarba, Shlomo, 2022. "Managing socio-political risk at the subnational level: Lessons from MNE subsidiaries in Indonesia," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(3).
    19. Enrico Sciubba, 2024. "Use of Extended Exergy Analysis to Quantify Advantages and Drawbacks of Decentralizing Industrial Production Lines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-16, August.
    20. Ferraresi, Massimiliano & Kotsogiannis, Christos & Rizzo, Leonzio, 2018. "Decentralization and fuel subsidies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 275-286.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:13:y:2025:i:5:p:131-:d:1654802. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.