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Analyzing Fiscal Sustainability in Latin American Countries: A Time–Frequency Perspective

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  • Nini Johana Marín-Rodríguez

    (Grupo de Investigación en Ingeniería Financiera GINIF, Programa de Ingeniería Financiera, Facultad de Ingenierías, Universidad de Medellín, Medellin 050026, Colombia)

  • Juan David Gonzalez-Ruiz

    (Grupo de Investigación en Finanzas y Sostenibilidad, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Humanas y Económicas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Medellin 050034, Colombia)

  • Alejandro Peña

    (Información y Gestión, Universidad EAFIT, Medellin 050022, Colombia)

Abstract

This study examines fiscal sustainability in Latin American countries from a unique time–frequency perspective, focusing on Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Mexico from 1997 to 2022. Using wavelet coherence analysis, it uncovers dynamic relationships between government revenue and expenditure over different time horizons, revealing varying causality patterns across countries and periods. The findings underscore the importance of balanced fiscal planning and resource allocation to ensure fiscal sustainability and support economic growth. This research contributes to a deeper understanding of Latin America’s economic landscape and provides valuable insights for policymakers, economists, and stakeholders concerned with the region’s economic stability and development.

Suggested Citation

  • Nini Johana Marín-Rodríguez & Juan David Gonzalez-Ruiz & Alejandro Peña, 2024. "Analyzing Fiscal Sustainability in Latin American Countries: A Time–Frequency Perspective," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-17, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:5:p:111-:d:1390382
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fabricio Linhares & Glauber Nojosa & Rogerio Bezerra, 2021. "Changes in the revenue–expenditure nexus: confronting evidence with fiscal policy in Brazil," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(44), pages 5051-5067, September.
    2. Cosimo Magazzino & Mihai Mutascu, 2019. "A wavelet analysis of Italian fiscal sustainability," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 8(1), pages 1-13, December.
    3. António Afonso & João Tovar Jalles, 2015. "How Does Fiscal Policy Affect Investment? Evidence from a Large Panel," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(4), pages 310-327, October.
    4. Cosimo Magazzino & Francesco Forte & Lorenzo Giolli, 2022. "On the Italian public accounts' sustainability: A wavelet approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 943-952, January.
    5. Quintos, Carmela E, 1995. "Sustainability of the Deficit Process with Structural Shifts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(4), pages 409-417, October.
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