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Romania’s Budget Deficit Between Resource and Fiscal Burden

Author

Listed:
  • Bogdan-Virgil Condea

    (Aurel Vlaicu University of Arad, Arad, Romania)

  • Daniela Haranguș

    (Aurel Vlaicu University of Arad, Arad, Romania)

  • Emima-Florentina Condea

    (Aurel Vlaicu University of Arad, Arad, Romania)

Abstract

Given the rise in Romania’s budget deficit beyond the limits set by the Stability and Growth Pact, as well as the current political climate, we aim in this article to analyse the deficit’s evolution in recent years. This analysis is linked to key factors affecting the deficit, such as inflation and interest rates. We chose to correlate the budget deficit with inflation because an increase in inflation leads to a larger deficit by impacting government spending. It is also important to examine the types of expenditures that have driven the deficit up, as a deficit can either serve as an additional economic resource—if used for investments—or become a burden if directed towards political, socialist, or corrupt purposes. Since the deficit is financed through borrowing, rising interest rates negatively impact it by driving up the cost of domestic loans. This study may be valuable for financial analysts in public institutions and potential investors, as the country’s economic situation plays a crucial role in investment decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Bogdan-Virgil Condea & Daniela Haranguș & Emima-Florentina Condea, 2025. "Romania’s Budget Deficit Between Resource and Fiscal Burden," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 10(18), pages 61-72, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:fst:rfsisf:v:10:y:2025:i:18:p:61-72
    DOI: 10.55654/JFS.2025.10.18.03
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roubini, Nouriel & Brad Setser, 2004. "Bailouts or Bail-ins? Responding to Financial Crises in Emerging Economies," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 378, July.
    2. Răzvan V. BALABAN, 2021. "Case study: The impact on the Romanian State Budget in the case of EU adoption of the CCCTB Directive," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(627), S), pages 135-154, Summer.
    3. Laurentiu Dumitru ANDREI & Petre BREZEANU, 2019. "Optimizing the Financial Structure of the State Treasury in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 180-195, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt
    • H81 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - Governmental Loans; Loan Guarantees; Credits; Grants; Bailouts
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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