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Asset Bubbles: Detecting and Measuring Them Are Not Easy Tasks

Author

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  • Silvio Contessi
  • Usa Kerdnunvong

Abstract

Market bubbles are linked to many historic financial crises, but asset price run-ups can reflect both fundamental value changes and psychological contagion. Using historic values of commonly held assets (stocks and real estate), a novel ?exuberance index? offers a way to compare bubbles.

Suggested Citation

  • Silvio Contessi & Usa Kerdnunvong, 2015. "Asset Bubbles: Detecting and Measuring Them Are Not Easy Tasks," The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue July.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlre:00079
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vitor M. A. da Fonseca & Manuel A. R. da Fonseca, 2019. "A Simple Approach to Assess if a Financial ¡°Bubble¡± is Present: The Case of Bitcoin," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(4), pages 1-10, July.
    2. Moramarco, Graziano, 2024. "Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 777-795.
    3. Mansur, Alfan, 2017. "10 Tahun Pasca Krisis Keuangan Global, Dimana Posisi Indonesia Sekarang? [10 Years After the Global Financial Crisis, Where is Indonesia’s Position Now?]," MPRA Paper 93945, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Dec 2017.
    4. Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Date-stamping US housing market explosivity," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 12, pages 1-33.

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