IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedfel/00093.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Medicare payment cuts continue to restrain inflation

Author

Abstract

A steady downward trend in health-care services price inflation over the past decade has been a major factor holding down core inflation. Much of this downward trend reflects lower payments from public insurance programs. Looking ahead, current legislative guidelines imply considerable restraint on future public insurance payment growth. Therefore, overall health-care services price inflation is unlikely to rebound and appears likely to continue to be a drag on inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeffrey Clemens & Joshua D. Gottlieb & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2016. "Medicare payment cuts continue to restrain inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:00093
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/el2016-15.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abe Dunn & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2014. "Do Physicians Possess Market Power?," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(1), pages 159-193.
    2. Jeffrey Clemens & Joshua D. Gottlieb, 2017. "In the Shadow of a Giant: Medicare’s Influence on Private Physician Payments," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 125(1), pages 1-39.
    3. Dunn, Abe & Shapiro, Adam Hale, 2015. "Physician payments under health care reform," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 89-105.
    4. Jeffrey Clemens & Joshua D. Gottlieb & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2014. "How much do Medicare cuts reduce inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    5. Jeffrey Clemens & Joshua D. Gottlieb & Tímea Laura Molnár, 2015. "The Anatomy of Physician Payments: Contracting Subject to Complexity," NBER Working Papers 21642, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Yifan Cao & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2013. "Why do measures of inflation disagree?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Adam Hale Shapiro, "undated". "Decomposing Supply and Demand Driven Inflation," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2023-03, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised Nov 2023.
    2. John C. Williams, 2017. "Interest Rates and the “New Normal”," Speech 182, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    3. Clemens, Jeffrey & Gottlieb, Joshua D. & Molnár, Tímea Laura, 2017. "Do health insurers innovate? Evidence from the anatomy of physician payments," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 153-167.
    4. Janet L. Yellen, 2017. "Inflation, uncertainty, and monetary policy," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 52(4), pages 194-207, October.
    5. John C. Williams, 2017. "What’s the Future of Interest Rates? The Answer’s in the Stars," Speech 183, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    6. Janet L. Yellen, 2017. "Inflation, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy : a speech at the \"Prospects for Growth: Reassessing the Fundamentals\" 59th Annual Meeting of the National Association for Business Economics, C," Speech 971, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Jeremy J. Nalewaik, 2016. "Non-Linear Phillips Curves with Inflation Regime-Switching," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-078, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Tim Mahedy & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2017. "What's Down with Inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    9. John C. Williams, 2017. "Interest Rates and the \\"New Normal\\"," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    10. Adam Hale Shapiro, 2022. "Decomposing Supply and Demand Driven Inflation," Working Paper Series 2022-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    11. Adam Hale Shapiro, 2018. "Has Inflation Sustainably Reached Target?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abe Dunn & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2018. "Physician Competition and the Provision of Care: Evidence from Heart Attacks," American Journal of Health Economics, MIT Press, vol. 4(2), pages 226-261, Spring.
    2. Dunn, Abe & Shapiro, Adam Hale, 2015. "Physician payments under health care reform," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 89-105.
    3. Adam Hale Shapiro, 2015. "Did Massachusetts health-care reform affect prices?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    4. Michael L. Barnett & Andrew Olenski & Adam Sacarny, 2023. "Common Practice: Spillovers from Medicare on Private Health Care," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 65-88, August.
    5. Adam Hale Shapiro, "undated". "Decomposing Supply and Demand Driven Inflation," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2023-03, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised Nov 2023.
    6. Thomas Koch & Shawn W. Ulrick, 2021. "Price Effects Of A Merger: Evidence From A Physicians' Market," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(2), pages 790-802, April.
    7. Steve Cicala & Ethan M. J. Lieber & Victoria Marone, 2019. "Regulating Markups in US Health Insurance," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 71-104, October.
    8. Tim Mahedy & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2017. "What's Down with Inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    9. Jeffrey Clemens & Joshua D. Gottlieb & Tímea Laura Molnár, 2015. "The Anatomy of Physician Payments: Contracting Subject to Complexity," NBER Working Papers 21642, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Daria Pelech, 2018. "An Analysis of Private-Sector Prices for Physicians’ Services: Working Paper 2018-01," Working Papers 53441, Congressional Budget Office.
    11. Adam Hale Shapiro, 2022. "Decomposing Supply and Demand Driven Inflation," Working Paper Series 2022-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    12. Naomi Hausman & Kurt Lavetti, 2021. "Physician Practice Organization and Negotiated Prices: Evidence from State Law Changes," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 258-296, April.
    13. Clemens, Jeffrey & Gottlieb, Joshua D. & Molnár, Tímea Laura, 2017. "Do health insurers innovate? Evidence from the anatomy of physician payments," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 153-167.
    14. Laurence Baker & M. Kate Bundorf & Aileen Devlin & Daniel P. Kessler, 2016. "Why Don’t Commercial Health Plans Use Prospective Payment?," NBER Working Papers 22709, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Ashantha Ranasinghe & Xuejuan Su, 2023. "When social assistance meets market power: A mixed duopoly view of health insurance in the United States," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 61(4), pages 851-869, October.
    16. Susan J. Méndez & Jongsay Yong & Hugh Gravelle & Anthony Scott, 2024. "Medical pricing decisions: Evidence from Australian specialists," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n11, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    17. Liran Einav & Amy Finkelstein & Maria Polyakova, 2018. "Private Provision of Social Insurance: Drug-Specific Price Elasticities and Cost Sharing in Medicare Part D," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 122-153, August.
    18. Berta, Paolo & Guerriero, Carla & Levaggi, Rosella, 2021. "Hospitals’ strategic behaviours and patient mobility: Evidence from Italy," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    19. Craig, Stuart V. & Ericson, Keith Marzilli & Starc, Amanda, 2021. "How important is price variation between health insurers?," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    20. Hsing-Wen Han & Hsien-Ming Lien & Tzu-Ting Yang, 2020. "Patient Cost-Sharing and Healthcare Utilization in Early Childhood: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 12(3), pages 238-278, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:00093. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Research Library (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbsfus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.