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World population in 2050: assessing the projections

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  • Joel E. Cohen

Abstract

This paper will review some population projections for the United States, the world, and selected major regions. The total population size, the youth dependency ratio, the elderly dependency ratio, and the total dependency ratio will receive most attention. The underlying assumptions regarding fertility, mortality, and migration will be reviewed. Projections from different sources will be compared where possible.

Suggested Citation

  • Joel E. Cohen, 2001. "World population in 2050: assessing the projections," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, vol. 46.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedbcp:y:2001:n:46:x:11
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    File URL: http://www.bostonfed.org/economic/conf/conf46/conf46d1.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ronald D. Lee & Michael W. Anderson & Shripad Tuljapurkar, 2003. "Stochastic Forecasts of the Social Security Trust Fund," Working Papers wp043, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
    2. Shripad Tuljapurkar & Carl Boe, "undated". "Mortality Change and Forecasting: How Much and How Little Do We Know?," Pension Research Council Working Papers 98-2, Wharton School Pension Research Council, University of Pennsylvania.
    3. World Bank, 2000. "Global Economic Prospects and the Developing Countries 2000," World Bank Publications, The World Bank, number 14776, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Izhak Berkovich, 2013. "A Multidimensional Approach in International Comparative Policy Analysis Based on Demographic Projections," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 32(6), pages 943-968, December.

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    Keywords

    Demography ; Economic conditions;

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