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Estructura regional de la informalidad en México después del Covid-19

Author

Listed:
  • Dr. Oscar Rodríguez Medina

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM))

  • Ramón Palafox Silva

    (Banco de México)

  • Dr. Elías Alvarado Lagunas

    (Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León)

Abstract

El objetivo es analizar los efectos del confinamiento social ocasionado por la pandemia de covid-19 sobre el empleo informal en México. Se estimó un modelo Logit para determinar la probabilidad de encontrar un trabajador informal dadas ciertas características en cada región del país y a nivel nacional. Los resultados indican que la probabilidad de encontrar un trabajador informal es superior a 50% en los niveles regional y nacional, y que ésta es más alta en las regiones centro y sur. La limitación del estudio es la imposibilidad de los modelos lógicos para identificar las interacciones no lineales entre las variables independientes, lo que dificulta capturar algunas dinámicas del empleo informal. Este estudio aporta una perspectiva innovadora de la informalidad porque la analiza desde una óptica regional. Finalmente, la probabilidad de encontrar un trabajador informal es mayor en todo el país después de la pandemia.

Suggested Citation

  • Dr. Oscar Rodríguez Medina & Ramón Palafox Silva & Dr. Elías Alvarado Lagunas, 2024. "Estructura regional de la informalidad en México después del Covid-19," Ensayos Revista de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, vol. 43(2), pages 191-222, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:43:y:2024:i:2:id:282
    DOI: 10.29105/ensayos43.2-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arvil V. Adams & Sara Johansson de Silva & Setareh Razmara, 2013. "Improving Skills Development in the Informal Sector : Strategies for Sub-Saharan Africa," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 15802.
    2. repec:ilo:ilowps:375000 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Maloney, William F., 2004. "Informality Revisited," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 1159-1178, July.
    4. Hussmanns, Ralf., 2004. "Measuring the informal economy : from employment in the formal sector to informal employment," ILO Working Papers 993750003402676, International Labour Organization.
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