IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ere/journl/v43y2024i2id282.html

Estructura regional de la informalidad en México después del Covid-19

Author

Listed:
  • Dr. Oscar Rodríguez Medina

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM))

  • Ramón Palafox Silva

    (Banco de México)

  • Dr. Elías Alvarado Lagunas

    (Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León)

Abstract

El objetivo es analizar los efectos del confinamiento social ocasionado por la pandemia de covid-19 sobre el empleo informal en México. Se estimó un modelo Logit para determinar la probabilidad de encontrar un trabajador informal dadas ciertas características en cada región del país y a nivel nacional. Los resultados indican que la probabilidad de encontrar un trabajador informal es superior a 50% en los niveles regional y nacional, y que ésta es más alta en las regiones centro y sur. La limitación del estudio es la imposibilidad de los modelos lógicos para identificar las interacciones no lineales entre las variables independientes, lo que dificulta capturar algunas dinámicas del empleo informal. Este estudio aporta una perspectiva innovadora de la informalidad porque la analiza desde una óptica regional. Finalmente, la probabilidad de encontrar un trabajador informal es mayor en todo el país después de la pandemia.

Suggested Citation

  • Dr. Oscar Rodríguez Medina & Ramón Palafox Silva & Dr. Elías Alvarado Lagunas, 2024. "Estructura regional de la informalidad en México después del Covid-19," Ensayos Revista de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, vol. 43(2), pages 191-222, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:43:y:2024:i:2:id:282
    DOI: 10.29105/ensayos43.2-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos/article/view/282
    File Function: Abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos/article/download/282/388
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.29105/ensayos43.2-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:ilo:ilowps:375000 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. repec:wbk:wbpubs:15802 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Maloney, William F., 2004. "Informality Revisited," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 1159-1178, July.
    4. Hussmanns, Ralf., 2004. "Measuring the informal economy : from employment in the formal sector to informal employment," ILO Working Papers 993750003402676, International Labour Organization.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. L. Beccaria & S. Filipetto & N. Mura, 2019. "Revisitando un viejo tema: informalidad y ciclo económico," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4141, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    2. Mazhar, Ummad & Méon, Pierre-Guillaume, 2017. "Taxing the unobservable: The impact of the shadow economy on inflation and taxation," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 89-103.
    3. Luz Adriana Florez, 2015. "The Search and Matching Equilibrium in an Economy with an Informal Sector: A Positive Analysis of Labour Market Policies," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    4. Floridi, A. & Wagner, N. & Cameron, J., 2016. "A study of Egyptian and Palestine trans-formal firms – A neglected category operating in the borderland between formality and informality," ISS Working Papers - General Series 619, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    5. repec:ilo:ilowps:402835 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Roberto Dell'Anno, 2022. "Theories and definitions of the informal economy: A survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1610-1643, December.
    7. Henley, Andrew & Arabsheibani, G. Reza & Carneiro, Francisco G., 2009. "On Defining and Measuring the Informal Sector: Evidence from Brazil," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 992-1003, May.
    8. Sudhir Shrestha, 2023. "Exploring the Informal Sector in Nepal: Performance Trend, Dualism, and Rural-Urban Dynamics," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 66(3), pages 765-791, September.
    9. Radchenko, Natalia, 2014. "Heterogeneity in Informal Salaried Employment: Evidence from the Egyptian Labor Market Survey," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 169-188.
    10. Antonio Andres & Carlyn Ramlogan-Dobson, 2011. "Is Corruption Really Bad for Inequality? Evidence from Latin America," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(7), pages 959-976.
    11. Osuagwu, Eze Simpson & Hsu, Sara & Adesola, Ololade, 2021. "The impact of Microfinance Institutions on the Informal Economy in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 112947, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Josip Franic, 2019. "Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC Method," Croatian Economic Survey, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, vol. 21(1), pages 5-46, June.
    13. Isabelle Guérin & Bert D'Espallier & G. Venkatasubramanian, 2015. "The Social Regulation of Markets: Why Microcredit Fails to Promote Jobs in Rural South India," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 46(6), pages 1277-1301, November.
    14. Flórez, Luz A., 2017. "Informal sector under saving: A positive analysis of labour market policies," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 13-26.
    15. Brian McCaig & Nina Pavcnik, 2015. "Informal Employment in a Growing and Globalizing Low-Income Country," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(5), pages 545-550, May.
    16. Jacek Liwiński, 2022. "Informal employment and wages in Poland," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 44(6), pages 1196-1220, January.
    17. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7079 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Nikita Céspedes Reynaga, 2020. "Crecer no es suficiente para reducir la informalidad," Capítulos de libros, in: Nikita Céspedes Reynaga & Norman V. Loayza & Nelson R. Ramírez Rondán (ed.), Crecimiento económico en el Perú: causas y consecuencias, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 6, pages 174-203, Universidad de San Martín de Porres.
    19. Leora Klapper & Raphael Amit & Mauro F. Guillén, 2010. "Entrepreneurship and Firm Formation across Countries," NBER Chapters, in: International Differences in Entrepreneurship, pages 129-158, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Duman, Anil & Duman, Alper, 2021. "The More the Gloomier: development of informal employment and its effect on wages in Turkey," GLO Discussion Paper Series 870, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    21. Shahen, Mostafa E. & Kotani, Koji & Kakinaka, Makoto & Managi, Shunsuke, 2020. "Wage and labor mobility between public, formal private and informal private sectors in a developing country," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 101-113.
    22. Gindling, T.H. & Terrell, Katherine, 2005. "The effect of minimum wages on actual wages in formal and informal sectors in Costa Rica," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 1905-1921, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:43:y:2024:i:2:id:282. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Revistas UANL (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.