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Modelando crecimiento y rentabilidad empresarial de la industria de Coahuila

Author

Listed:
  • Vicente Germán-Soto

    (Universidad Autónoma de Coahuila)

  • Alejandro Marines López

    (Universidad Autónoma de Coahuila)

Abstract

Se analiza la relación crecimiento-rentabilidad de la manufactura de Coahuila, México, durante 1993-2018. La actividad empresarial es uno de los motores generadores de empleo que suele estar subordinada a la rentabilidad. Las teorías empresariales desacuerdan sobre impacto y causalidad: el crecimiento fomenta la rentabilidad (visión clásica), la rentabilidad genera crecimiento (evolutiva) o domina un vínculo negativo (hipótesis gerencial) que puede ser bidireccional. Métodos de paneles dinámicos no lineales y regresiones piecewise estiman impactos positivos que van de rentabilidad a crecimiento, pero se reducen después de alcanzar un valor umbral. El análisis está delimitado por la agregación sectorial, pero los hallazgos son intuitivos y contribuyen al entendimiento de la dinámica empresarial. Se concluye que las oportunidades de ganancia crean economías de escala que estimulan la ampliación de la planta productiva, pero se requieren condiciones macroeconómicas que incentiven la inversión privada y aminoren las restricciones de mercado.

Suggested Citation

  • Vicente Germán-Soto & Alejandro Marines López, 2023. "Modelando crecimiento y rentabilidad empresarial de la industria de Coahuila," Ensayos Revista de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, vol. 42(1), pages 1-32, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:42:y:2023:i:1:id:226
    DOI: 10.29105/ensayos42.1-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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