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Dinámica de corto plazo del empleo en las maquiladoras de Reynosa, Tamaulipas

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.
  • Juan Carlos Vázquez Morales
  • Martha Patricia Barraza de Anda

Abstract

Esta investigación analiza la dinámica de corto plazo del empleo en la industria maquiladora de exportación (IME) en Reynosa, Tamaulipas, México. El análisis se lleva a cabo con la estimación de parámetros y la metodología de funciones de transferencia lineales, ARIMA. A diferencia de otras economías metropolitanas, en las cuales se han completado estudios parecidos, el tipo de cambio real no resulta significativo. Las variables que sí resultan significativas, son las que incluyen actividad industrial en Estados Unidos, salario real y número de plantas activas. Simulaciones fuera de muestra realizadas indican que el modelo es relativamente preciso en las proyecciones de 1 a 24 meses. Clasificación JEL: F15, R15.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. & Juan Carlos Vázquez Morales & Martha Patricia Barraza de Anda, 2011. "Dinámica de corto plazo del empleo en las maquiladoras de Reynosa, Tamaulipas," Ensayos Revista de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, vol. 30(1), pages 23-40, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:30:y:2011:i:1:id:78
    DOI: 10.29105/ensayos30.1-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thomas M. Fullerton & Torres Ruiz & Luis BernardoAuthor-Workplace-Name: University of Texas at E1 Pasio, USA, 2004. "Maquiladora employment dynamics in Chihuahua City, Mexico," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 38(1), pages 1-17, September.
    2. Hanson, Gordon H., 2001. "U.S.-Mexico Integration and Regional Economies: Evidence from Border-City Pairs," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 259-287, September.
    3. Fullerton, Th. & Lopez, J.J., 2005. "Error Correction Exchange Rate Modeling for Mexico: 1980 – 2001," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 2(3), pages 17-30.
    4. Thomas Fullerton & Miwa Hattori & Cuauhtémoc Calderón, 2001. "Error correction exchange rate modeling: Evidence for Mexico," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 25(3), pages 358-368, September.
    5. Thomas Fullerton & David Schauer, 2001. "Short-run maquiladora employment dynamics," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 7(4), pages 471-478, November.
    6. Roberto Coronado & Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. & Don P. Clark, 2004. "Short-run maquiladora employment dynamics in Tijuana," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 38(4), pages 751-763, December.
    7. William C. Gruben, 2001. "Was NAFTA behind Mexico's high maquiladora growth?," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q III, pages 11-21.
    8. Jesús Cañas & Thomas M. Fullerton & Wm. Doyle Smith, 2007. "Maquiladora Employment Dynamics in Nuevo Laredo," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 23-38, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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