IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transb/v42y2008i4p373-380.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Closed form expressions for choice probabilities in the Weibull case

Author

Listed:
  • Castillo, Enrique
  • Menéndez, José María
  • Jiménez, Pilar
  • Rivas, Ana

Abstract

For a probabilistic discrete choice model with independent reversed Gumbel distributed random costs, closed form expressions for the choice probabilities are known under the assumption that the variance is the same for all choice alternatives. This assumption is highly disputable in many cases in reality. In this paper, closed form expressions for the choice probabilities are derived for the case of independent Weibull distributed random costs. It is then necessary to assume that the variance of the Weibull distributed cost is a specific increasing function of its mean, which, however, may be a more natural assumption in many cases. The theoretical results are explained and exemplified in terms of the familiar stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) traffic assignment model.

Suggested Citation

  • Castillo, Enrique & Menéndez, José María & Jiménez, Pilar & Rivas, Ana, 2008. "Closed form expressions for choice probabilities in the Weibull case," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 373-380, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:42:y:2008:i:4:p:373-380
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0191-2615(07)00077-X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Warren B. Powell & Yosef Sheffi, 1982. "The Convergence of Equilibrium Algorithms with Predetermined Step Sizes," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 16(1), pages 45-55, February.
    2. Prashker, Joseph N. & Bekhor, Shlomo, 2000. "Some observations on stochastic user equilibrium and system optimum of traffic assignment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 277-291, May.
    3. Carlos F. Daganzo & Yosef Sheffi, 1977. "On Stochastic Models of Traffic Assignment," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(3), pages 253-274, August.
    4. Yai, Tetsuo & Iwakura, Seiji & Morichi, Shigeru, 1997. "Multinomial probit with structured covariance for route choice behavior," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 195-207, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Castillo, Enrique & Menéndez, José María & Sánchez-Cambronero, Santos, 2008. "Predicting traffic flow using Bayesian networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 482-509, June.
    2. Hironori Kato & Yuichiro Kaneko & Masashi Inoue, 2010. "Comparative analysis of transit assignment: evidence from urban railway system in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area," Transportation, Springer, vol. 37(5), pages 775-799, September.
    3. Clark, Stephen D. & Watling, David P., 2006. "Applications of sensitivity analysis for probit stochastic network equilibrium," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 175(2), pages 894-911, December.
    4. Ahipaşaoğlu, Selin Damla & Meskarian, Rudabeh & Magnanti, Thomas L. & Natarajan, Karthik, 2015. "Beyond normality: A cross moment-stochastic user equilibrium model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 333-354.
    5. Paolo Delle Site, 2017. "On the Equivalence Between SUE and Fixed-Point States of Day-to-Day Assignment Processes with Serially-Correlated Route Choice," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 935-962, September.
    6. Massimo Gangi & Giulio E. Cantarella & Antonino Vitetta, 2019. "Solving stochastic frequency-based assignment to transit networks with pre-trip/en-route path choice," EURO Journal on Transportation and Logistics, Springer;EURO - The Association of European Operational Research Societies, vol. 8(5), pages 661-681, December.
    7. Owais, Mahmoud & Moussa, Ghada S. & Hussain, Khaled F., 2019. "Sensor location model for O/D estimation: Multi-criteria meta-heuristics approach," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 6(C).
    8. Honggang Zhang & Zhiyuan Liu & Yicheng Zhang & Weijie Chen & Chenyang Zhang, 2024. "A Distributed Computing Method Integrating Improved Gradient Projection for Solving Stochastic Traffic Equilibrium Problem," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 361-381, June.
    9. Moshe Ben-Akiva & Song Gao & Lu Lu & Yang Wen, 2015. "DTA2012 Symposium: Combining Disaggregate Route Choice Estimation with Aggregate Calibration of a Dynamic Traffic Assignment Model," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 559-581, September.
    10. Zhang, Michael & Nie, Yu & Shen, Wei & Lee, Ming S. & Jansuwan, Sarawut & Chootinan, Piya & Pravinvongvuth, Surachet & Chen, Anthony & Recker, Will W., 2008. "Development of A Path Flow Estimator for Inferring Steady-State and Time-Dependent Origin-Destination Trip Matrices," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt3nr033sc, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    11. Oyama, Yuki & Hara, Yusuke & Akamatsu, Takashi, 2022. "Markovian traffic equilibrium assignment based on network generalized extreme value model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 135-159.
    12. Connors, Richard D. & Sumalee, Agachai & Watling, David P., 2007. "Sensitivity analysis of the variable demand probit stochastic user equilibrium with multiple user-classes," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 593-615, July.
    13. Habib, Khandker Nurul & Morency, Catherine & Trépanier, Martin & Salem, Sarah, 2013. "Application of an independent availability logit model (IAL) for route choice modelling: Considering bridge choice as a key determinant of selected routes for commuting in Montreal," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 14-26.
    14. Akamatsu, Takashi, 1996. "Cyclic flows, Markov process and stochastic traffic assignment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 369-386, October.
    15. Selin Damla Ahipaşaoğlu & Uğur Arıkan & Karthik Natarajan, 2019. "Distributionally Robust Markovian Traffic Equilibrium," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(6), pages 1546-1562, November.
    16. Gallo, Mariano & D'Acierno, Luca & Montella, Bruno, 2011. "A multilayer model to simulate cruising for parking in urban areas," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 735-744, September.
    17. Guido Gentile, 2018. "New Formulations of the Stochastic User Equilibrium with Logit Route Choice as an Extension of the Deterministic Model," Service Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(6), pages 1531-1547, December.
    18. Farahani, Reza Zanjirani & Miandoabchi, Elnaz & Szeto, W.Y. & Rashidi, Hannaneh, 2013. "A review of urban transportation network design problems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 281-302.
    19. Hai Yang & Qiang Meng & Michael G. H. Bell, 2001. "Simultaneous Estimation of the Origin-Destination Matrices and Travel-Cost Coefficient for Congested Networks in a Stochastic User Equilibrium," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(2), pages 107-123, May.
    20. Liu, Ke & Liu, Yanli, 2023. "Stochastic user equilibrium based spatial-temporal distribution prediction of electric vehicle charging load," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:42:y:2008:i:4:p:373-380. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/548/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.