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Foresight in designing sun-beach destinations

Author

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  • Fernández-Güell, José M.
  • Collado, Marta

Abstract

Foresight tools have been less used than forecasting methods by tourism planners because they seem to provide little added value to the planning process. To overcome this biased perception, this paper shows the potential of foresight for dealing with tourism development issues burdened by complexity and uncertainty, as well as its capability to bring down analysis from global challenges to local and spatial implications. A model framework is presented to incorporate foresight studies into the process of planning and designing tourist destinations. The model facilitates a gradual transition from a narrative vision to the spatial design of a future destination. Stakeholders play a very important role in the proposed model, being involved throughout the process in identifying future trends, formulating visions and helping to design urban patterns. In order to facilitate stakeholders' involvement, various analytical and design tools are used to envision the future development of tourist destinations.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernández-Güell, José M. & Collado, Marta, 2014. "Foresight in designing sun-beach destinations," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 83-95.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:touman:v:41:y:2014:i:c:p:83-95
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2013.09.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bas Amelung & Alvaro Moreno, 2009. "Impacts of climate change in tourism in Europe. PESETA-Tourism study," JRC Research Reports JRC55392, Joint Research Centre.
    2. Romero, Isidoro & Tejada, Pilar, 2011. "A multi-level approach to the study of production chains in the tourism sector," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 297-306.
    3. Paul Goodwin, 2008. "A Quick Tour of Tourism Forecasting," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 10, pages 35-37, Summer.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carlisle, Sheena & Johansen, Aleksander & Kunc, Martin, 2016. "Strategic foresight for (coastal) urban tourism market complexity: The case of Bournemouth," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 81-95.

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