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Scenario-based identification of key factors for smart cities development policies

Author

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  • Sokolov, Alexander
  • Veselitskaya, Natalia
  • Carabias, Vicente
  • Yildirim, Onur

Abstract

This article is devoted to an analysis of the key characteristics of smart cities. It provides insight into the key features of urban development that allow for distinguishing between smart cities and conventional ones as well as taking these features into consideration for improving existing policy instruments for smart cities. The authors used an approach based on the overview of the evolution of the concept of smart city as such and the identification of key factors/drivers of the development of smart cities. The influence of these factors was assessed with respect to their importance across 13 studies aimed at building scenarios for urban development. A set of factors peculiar to the scenarios related to smart cities was applied to an analysis of policy documents determining the development of three cities of differing scales: a megacity (Moscow), a large city (Kazan), and a small city (Winterthur).

Suggested Citation

  • Sokolov, Alexander & Veselitskaya, Natalia & Carabias, Vicente & Yildirim, Onur, 2019. "Scenario-based identification of key factors for smart cities development policies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:148:y:2019:i:c:s0040162518317359
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119729
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vincent Viguie & Stéphane Hallegatte & Julie Rozenberg, 2014. "Downscaling long term socio-economic scenarios at city scale: A case study on Paris," Post-Print hal-01136217, HAL.
    2. Viguié, Vincent & Hallegatte, Stéphane & Rozenberg, Julie, 2014. "Downscaling long term socio-economic scenarios at city scale: A case study on Paris," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 305-324.
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    2. Tiantian Gu & Shuyu Liu & Xuefan Liu & Yujia Shan & Enyang Hao & Miaomiao Niu, 2023. "Evaluation of the Smart City and Analysis of Its Spatial–Temporal Characteristics in China: A Case Study of 26 Cities in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-23, September.
    3. Mora, Luca & Gerli, Paolo & Ardito, Lorenzo & Messeni Petruzzelli, Antonio, 2023. "Smart city governance from an innovation management perspective: Theoretical framing, review of current practices, and future research agenda," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    4. Ullah, Fahim & Qayyum, Siddra & Thaheem, Muhammad Jamaluddin & Al-Turjman, Fadi & Sepasgozar, Samad M.E., 2021. "Risk management in sustainable smart cities governance: A TOE framework," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    5. Qinghong Cui & Ruirui Wei & Rong Huang & Xiancun Hu & Guangbin Wang, 2022. "The Effect of Perceived Risk on Public Participation Intention in Smart City Development: Evidence from China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-14, September.
    6. Mitincu, Cristina-Gabriela & Ioja, Ioan-Cristian & Hossu, Constantina-Alina & Artmann, Martina & Nita, Andreea & Nita, Mihai-Razvan, 2021. "Licensing sustainability related aspects in Strategic Environmental Assessment. Evidence from Romania’s urban areas," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    7. Sergey Belozyorov & Olena Sokolovska & Young Sik Kim, 2020. "Fintech as a Precondition of Transformations in Global Financial Markets," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 14(2), pages 23-35.
    8. Erik Karger & Marvin Jagals & Frederik Ahlemann, 2021. "Blockchain for Smart Mobility—Literature Review and Future Research Agenda," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-32, November.
    9. Agnieszka Starzyk & Janusz Marchwiński & Eliza Maciejewska & Piotr Bujak & Kinga Rybak-Niedziółka & Magdalena Grochulska-Salak & Zdzisław Skutnik, 2023. "Resilience in Urban and Architectural Design—The Issue of Sustainable Development for Areas Associated with an Embankment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-25, June.
    10. Wadim Strielkowski & Svetlana Zenchenko & Anna Tarasova & Yana Radyukova, 2022. "Management of Smart and Sustainable Cities in the Post-COVID-19 Era: Lessons and Implications," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-17, June.
    11. Stephane Louise Boca Santa & Felipe Teixeira Dias & Thiago Coelho Soares & Rodolfo Santa Maria de Souza e Silva & Daniel Goulart Basil & José Baltazar Salgueirinho Osório de Andrade Guerra, 2023. "Measurement Model of Healthy and Sustainable Cities: The Perception Regarding the Sustainable Development Goals," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-22, October.
    12. Vasja Roblek & Maja Meško & Iztok Podbregar, 2021. "Impact of Car Sharing on Urban Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-19, January.
    13. Izabela Jonek-Kowalska & Radosław Wolniak, 2022. "Sharing Economies’ Initiatives in Municipal Authorities’ Perspective: Research Evidence from Poland in the Context of Smart Cities’ Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-22, February.
    14. Burt, George & Mackay, David & Mendibil, Kepa, 2021. "Overcoming multi-stakeholder fragmented narratives in land use, woodland and forestry policy: The role scenario planning and ‘dissociative jolts’," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).

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