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Analysis of transition dynamics caused by technological breakthroughs: Cause of productivity slowdown and drop in existing firms’ stock prices

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  • Ohki, Kazuyoshi

Abstract

This paper examines the transition dynamics caused by technological breakthroughs. Our results show that technological breakthroughs cause a productivity slowdown and a drop in the stock prices of existing firms; these findings are consistent with observations in the 1970s. We explain how technological breakthroughs cause these phenomena. The emergence of a new technology creates new business opportunities, which reduces existing firms’ profits, thus causing their stock prices to drop. This decline in existing firms’ profits discourages R&D-intensive firms from entering the sector; this decreases aggregate R&D activity, and thus the growth rate of productivity declines.

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  • Ohki, Kazuyoshi, 2015. "Analysis of transition dynamics caused by technological breakthroughs: Cause of productivity slowdown and drop in existing firms’ stock prices," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 12-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:35:y:2015:i:c:p:12-25
    DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2015.09.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Ohki, Kazuyoshi, 2023. "Disruptive innovation by heterogeneous incumbents and economic growth: When do incumbents switch to new technology?," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    R&D; Semi-endogenous growth; Technological breakthrough; Productivity slowdown; Stock price;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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