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Dynamic asset allocation under mean-reverting returns, stochastic interest rates, and inflation uncertainty: Are popular recommendations consistent with rational behavior?

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  • Munk, Claus
  • Sorensen, Carsten
  • Nygaard Vinther, Tina

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  • Munk, Claus & Sorensen, Carsten & Nygaard Vinther, Tina, 2004. "Dynamic asset allocation under mean-reverting returns, stochastic interest rates, and inflation uncertainty: Are popular recommendations consistent with rational behavior?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 141-166.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:13:y:2004:i:2:p:141-166
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    3. Canner, Niko & Mankiw, N Gregory & Weil, David N, 1997. "An Asset Allocation Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(1), pages 181-191, March.
    4. LuisM. Viceira & John Y. Campbell, 2001. "Who Should Buy Long-Term Bonds?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(1), pages 99-127, March.
    5. Elton, Edwin J. & Gruber, Martin J., 2000. "The Rationality of Asset Allocation Recommendations," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(01), pages 27-41, March.
    6. Merton, Robert C., 1971. "Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 373-413, December.
    7. M. J. Brennan, 1998. "The Role of Learning in Dynamic Portfolio Decisions," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 1(3), pages 295-306.
    8. Michael J. Brennan & Yihong Xia, 2002. "Dynamic Asset Allocation under Inflation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1201-1238, June.
    9. Mehra, Rajnish & Prescott, Edward C., 2003. "The equity premium in retrospect," Handbook of the Economics of Finance,in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 14, pages 889-938 Elsevier.
    10. Jan Bo Jakobsen & Carsten Sørensen, 2003. "The dynamics of bond yields and the stock index - with an application to the UK stock and bond market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 387-399.
    11. John Y. Campbell & Luis M. Viceira, 1999. "Consumption and Portfolio Decisions when Expected Returns are Time Varying," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 114(2), pages 433-495.
    12. Merton, Robert C, 1973. "An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(5), pages 867-887, September.
    13. Vasicek, Oldrich, 1977. "An equilibrium characterization of the term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 177-188, November.
    14. Pennacchi, George G, 1991. "Identifying the Dynamics of Real Interest Rates and Inflation: Evidence Using Survey Data," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(1), pages 53-86.
    15. Sørensen, Carsten, 1999. "Dynamic Asset Allocation and Fixed Income Management," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(04), pages 513-531, December.
    16. Wachter, Jessica A., 2002. "Portfolio and Consumption Decisions under Mean-Reverting Returns: An Exact Solution for Complete Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(01), pages 63-91, March.
    17. Vasicek, Oldrich Alfonso, 1977. "Abstract: An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(04), pages 627-627, November.
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    19. Kim, Tong Suk & Omberg, Edward, 1996. "Dynamic Nonmyopic Portfolio Behavior," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(1), pages 141-161.
    20. Brennan, Michael & Wang, Ashley W & Xia, Yihong, 2003. "Estimation and Test of a Simple Model of Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt20r0j5t8, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    21. Nicholas Barberis, 2000. "Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(1), pages 225-264, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Faria, João Ricardo & Mollick, André Varella & Sachsida, Adolfo & Wang, Le, 2012. "Do central banks affect Tobin's q?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-10.
    2. repec:spr:mathme:v:85:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s00186-017-0580-6 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Gao, Jianwei, 2010. "An extended CEV model and the Legendre transform-dual-asymptotic solutions for annuity contracts," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 511-530, June.
    4. Yao, Haixiang & Yang, Zhou & Chen, Ping, 2013. "Markowitz’s mean–variance defined contribution pension fund management under inflation: A continuous-time model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 851-863.
    5. Carl Chiarella & Chih-Ying Hsiao & Willi Semmler, 2007. "Intertemporal Investment Strategies Under Inflation Risk," Research Paper Series 192, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    6. de Jong, Frank, 2008. "Pension fund investments and the valuation of liabilities under conditional indexation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 1-13, February.
    7. Chakroun, Fatma & Abid, Fathi, 2014. "Dynamic asset allocation for bank under stochastic interest rates," MPRA Paper 59295, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Larsen, Linda Sandris, 2010. "Optimal investment strategies in an international economy with stochastic interest rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 145-165, January.
    9. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11497 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Carl Chiarella & Chih-Ying Hsiao & Willi Semmler, 2007. "Intertemporal asset allocation when the underlying factors are unobservable," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 29(3), pages 383-418, May.
    11. Ahmad Telfah, "undated". "" Do Financial Planners Take Financial Crashes In Their Advice: Dynamic Asset Allocation Under Thick Tails And Fast Volatility Updating," API-Working Paper Series 0604, Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait, Information Center.
    12. Han, Nan-wei & Hung, Mao-wei, 2012. "Optimal asset allocation for DC pension plans under inflation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 172-181.
    13. Gao, Jianwei, 2009. "Optimal investment strategy for annuity contracts under the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 9-18, August.
    14. Willi Semmler & Maik Mueller, 2016. "A Stochastic Model of Dynamic Consumption and Portfolio Decisions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 48(2), pages 225-251, August.
    15. Farid Mkouar & Jean-Luc Prigent, 2014. "Long-Term Investment with Stochastic Interest and Inflation Rates Incompleteness and Compensating Variation," Working Papers 2014-301, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    16. Kwak, Minsuk & Lim, Byung Hwa, 2014. "Optimal portfolio selection with life insurance under inflation risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 59-71.
    17. Gao, Jianwei, 2009. "Optimal portfolios for DC pension plans under a CEV model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 479-490, June.
    18. Han, Nan-Wei & Hung, Mao-Wei, 2017. "Optimal consumption, portfolio, and life insurance policies under interest rate and inflation risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 54-67.
    19. Francesco Menoncin & Olivier Scaillet, 2003. "Mortality Risk and Real Optimal Asset Allocation for Pension Funds," FAME Research Paper Series rp101, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
    20. Xiaoxiao Zheng & Xin Zhang, 2014. "Optimal investment-reinsurance policy under a long-term perspective," Papers 1406.7604, arXiv.org.
    21. Ahmad Telfah, "undated". "Strategic Asset Allocation in Stochastic Environment And Incomplete Markets: Evidence on Horizon And Hedging Effects," API-Working Paper Series 0603, Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait, Information Center.
    22. Jin-Ray Lu & Chih-Ming Chan, 2014. "Optimal portfolio choice of gold assets in the differential market and differential game structures," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(2), pages 309-325, February.
    23. Li, Danping & Rong, Ximin & Zhao, Hui, 2015. "Time-consistent reinsurance–investment strategy for a mean–variance insurer under stochastic interest rate model and inflation risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 28-44.
    24. Liang, Zongxia & Zhao, Xiaoyang, 2016. "Optimal mean–variance efficiency of a family with life insurance under inflation risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 164-178.

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