IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/retrec/v43y2013i1p9-22.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comparing the fatality risks in United States transportation across modes and over time

Author

Listed:
  • Savage, Ian

Abstract

This paper analyzes the transportation fatality risk in the United States. The analysis is in two parts. The first part compares the relative risks of the different modes based on data for the decade from 2000 to 2009. The second part is a time-series analysis for each mode using annual data from 1975 to 2010. By almost any measure, transportation is considerably safer now than it was in the mid 1970s. The improvement is especially noticeable for commercial modes such as aviation, railroads and maritime. Even the risks from private highway driving have halved during the past thirty-five years.

Suggested Citation

  • Savage, Ian, 2013. "Comparing the fatality risks in United States transportation across modes and over time," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 9-22.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:43:y:2013:i:1:p:9-22
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2012.12.011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885912002156
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.retrec.2012.12.011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Oster, Clinton V. & Strong, John S., 2013. "Analyzing road safety in the United States," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 98-111.
    2. Blattenberger, Gail & Fowles, Richard & Loeb, Peter D., 2013. "Determinants of motor vehicle crash fatalities using Bayesian model selection methods," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 112-122.
    3. Savage, Ian, 2007. "Trespassing on the Railroad," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 199-224, January.
    4. Oster, Clinton V. & Strong, John S. & Zorn, C. Kurt, 2013. "Analyzing aviation safety: Problems, challenges, opportunities," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 148-164.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Clifford Winston, 2013. "On the Performance of the U.S. Transportation System: Caution Ahead," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(3), pages 773-824, September.
    2. Loo, Becky P.Y. & Banister, David, 2016. "Decoupling transport from economic growth: Extending the debate to include environmental and social externalities," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 134-144.
    3. Arnold Barnett, 2020. "Aviation Safety: A Whole New World?," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(1), pages 84-96, January.
    4. Casey B. Mulligan, 2021. "The Incidence and Magnitude of the Health Costs of In-person Schooling during the COVID-19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 28619, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Serafeim Polyzos & Dimitrios Tsiotas, 2020. "Regional airports in Greece, their characteristics and their importance for the local economic development," Papers 2001.09666, arXiv.org.
    6. Vukina, Tomislav & Nestić, Danijel, 2015. "Do people drive safer when accidents are more expensive: Testing for moral hazard in experience rating schemes," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 46-58.
    7. Mohammad Nabil Ibrahim & David B. Logan & Sjaan Koppel & Brian Fildes, 2022. "Fatal and Serious Injury Rates for Different Travel Modes in Victoria, Australia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-13, February.
    8. Casey B. Mulligan, 2021. "The incidence and magnitude of the health costs of in-person schooling during the COVID-19 pandemic," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 188(3), pages 303-332, September.
    9. Ghimire, Ramesh & Lancelin, Colby, 2019. "The relationship between financial incentives provided by employers and commuters' decision to use transit: Results from the Atlanta Regional Household Travel Survey," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 103-113.
    10. Shr, Yau-Huo (Jimmy) & Yang, Feng-An & Chen, Yi-Syun, 2023. "The housing market impacts of bicycle-sharing systems," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    11. Sajad Karimi & Zaniar Ardalan & Omid Poursabzi & B. Naderi, 2023. "Toward a safe supply chain: Incorporating accident, physical, psychosocial and mental overload risks into supply chain network," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(6), pages 5579-5595, June.
    12. Svein Bråthen & Karoline L. Hoff, 2020. "Economic Impact Assessment of Regulatory Changes: A Case Study of a Proposed New ICAO Standard for Contaminated Runways," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-27, July.
    13. Arnold Barnett, 2020. "All The Same? On a Certain Pattern in Cross‐National Death Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(9), pages 1831-1843, September.
    14. Dong, Hongming & Ma, Shoufeng & Jia, Ning & Tian, Junfang, 2021. "Understanding public transport satisfaction in post COVID-19 pandemic," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 81-88.
    15. Cho, Sang-Hee & Ali, Faizan & Manhas, Parikshat Singh, 2018. "Examining the impact of risk perceptions on intentions to travel by air: A comparison of full -service carriers and low-cost carriers," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 20-27.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tyndall, Justin, 2021. "Pedestrian deaths and large vehicles," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 26.
    2. Chang, Chiung-Ting, 2017. "Risk factors associated with flying in adverse weather: From the passengers' point of view," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 68-75.
    3. Zizheng Guo & Zhenqi Chen & Jingyu Zhang & Qiaofeng Guo & Chuanning He & Yongliang Zhao, 2022. "Characteristics of Train–Pedestrian Collisions in Southwest China, 2011–2020," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-19, May.
    4. Peng He & Ruishan Sun, 2022. "Research on Cross-Correlation, Co-Integration, and Causality Relationship between Civil Aviation Incident and Airline Capacity in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-16, April.
    5. Jia-ni Zhao & Li-na Shi & Li Zhang, 2017. "Application of improved unascertained mathematical model in security evaluation of civil airport," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 8(3), pages 1989-2000, November.
    6. Li, Max Z. & Ryerson, Megan S., 2019. "Reviewing the DATAS of aviation research data: Diversity, availability, tractability, applicability, and sources," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 111-130.
    7. Fowles, Richard & Loeb, Peter D., 2016. "Sturdy Inference: A Bayesian Analysis of U.S. Motorcycle Helmet Laws," Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, Transportation Research Forum, vol. 55(3), December.
    8. Decker, Christopher & Chiambaretto, Paul, 2022. "Economic policy choices and trade-offs for Unmanned aircraft systems Traffic Management (UTM): Insights from Europe and the United States," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 40-58.
    9. Matthias U Agboeze & Ruphina U. Nwachukwu & Michael O. Ugwueze & Maryrose N. Agboeze, 2020. "Occupational Health and Safety of Commercial Motorcyclists in Obollo-Afor: An Adult Education Approach," Global Journal of Health Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(9), pages 1-24, August.
    10. Tüzün Tolga İnan & Neslihan Gökmen İnan, 2022. "The analysis of fatal aviation accidents more than 100 dead passengers: an application of machine learning," OPSEARCH, Springer;Operational Research Society of India, vol. 59(4), pages 1377-1395, December.
    11. Fox, Sarah, 2014. "Safety and security: The influence of 9/11 to the EU framework for air carriers and aircraft operators," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 24-33.
    12. Barak, Sasan & Dahooei, Jalil Heidary, 2018. "A novel hybrid fuzzy DEA-Fuzzy MADM method for airlines safety evaluation," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 134-149.
    13. Fabricio Esteban Espinoza-Molina & Christian Fernando Ojeda-Romero & Henry David Zumba-Paucar & Giovanny Pillajo-Quijia & Blanca Arenas-Ramírez & Francisco Aparicio-Izquierdo, 2021. "Road Safety as a Public Health Problem: Case of Ecuador in the Period 2000–2019," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-20, July.
    14. Blattenberger, Gail & Fowles, Richard & Loeb, Peter D., 2013. "Determinants of motor vehicle crash fatalities using Bayesian model selection methods," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 112-122.
    15. Anders Pousette & Josefa Vega Matuszczyk & Kenneth Björk & Marianne Törner, 2021. "AERODROM security climate: development and validation of the aerodrome security climate questionnaire (ADSECQ)," Journal of Transportation Security, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 19-39, June.
    16. Wróbel, Krzysztof, 2021. "Searching for the origins of the myth: 80% human error impact on maritime safety," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    17. Calabrese, Curtis G. & Molesworth, Brett R.C. & Hatfield, Julie & Slavich, Eve, 2022. "Effects of the Federal Aviation Administration's Compliance Program on aircraft incidents and accidents," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 304-319.
    18. Vatankhah, Sanaz, 2021. "Dose safety motivation mediate the effect of psychological contract of safety on flight attendants' safety performance outcomes?: A social exchange perspective," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    19. Mary J. Becker & Thomas J. Zlatoper, 2022. "Relationship Between Smoking and Motor Vehicle Death Rates in the U.S," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 50(1), pages 53-65, June.
    20. Arnold Barnett, 2020. "Aviation Safety: A Whole New World?," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(1), pages 84-96, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Safety; Transportation; United States;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:43:y:2013:i:1:p:9-22. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/620614/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.